inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 84 Excitement5.5 [473] MVPTim Hardaway Jr. (DEN): +11.4%
Denver Nuggets 103 Comeback2.0 [466] LVPBruce Brown (DEN): -13.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick White0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.011462%0.123-0.094100%0.01
Sam Hauser0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.02550%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Neemias Queta0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.01671%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Jordan Walsh0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04280%0.0000.0010%0.00
Luka Garza0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0310%0.0000.0020%0.00
Dalano Banton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Baylor Scheierman-0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01950%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Hugo González-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.04462%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.022145%0.044-0.11989%0.03
Ron Harper Jr.-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01721%-0.081-0.0000%0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.00714%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.050.01961%0.1100.00560%-0.02
Nikola Joki?0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.04-0.032848%0.131-0.03757%-0.03
Jonas Valan?i?nas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.01779%0.0800.0000%0.00
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Spencer Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.02550%0.0500.00250%-0.00
Cameron Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.011150%0.061-0.0200%0.00
DaRon Holmes II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
KJ Simpson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0010%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.020.05967%0.013-0.0600%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.04-0.03822%-0.073-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.430.514.630.30.028.90.0
league avg26.32.029.014.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +34.5%
BOS -7.0%
DEN +8.1%
DEN +15.7%
BOS -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDENNBABOSDENNBA
this game15.714.914.289.4109.6113.3
season15.514.7118.7119.6
opponent14.114.4114.9111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.915.515.615.015.7
DEN15.615.812.715.714.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Neemias Queta5961-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-14916.115.01.1416.511.94.54
Baylor Scheierman5958-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-151115.815.60.1816.312.63.73
Hugo González4544-0.09-0.410.320.14-8-11316.015.40.6416.013.92.10
Sam Hauser7171-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-13716.413.72.6715.512.92.61
Jordan Walsh5150-0.12-0.380.260.17-10-9-115.416.1-0.7916.612.93.75
Luka Garza2423-0.13-0.370.250.14-9-10115.016.0-1.0115.714.61.08
Dalano Banton2423-0.13-0.370.250.14-9-10115.016.0-1.0115.714.61.08
Ron Harper Jr.5757-0.17-0.330.150.15-11-8-316.015.30.6416.712.14.67
Nikola Vu?evi?7071-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.08-10-9-116.015.01.0114.615.7-1.08
Payton Pritchard8384-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.00-17-2-1516.013.32.7614.716.1-1.36
Jaylen Brown8283-0.530.03-0.57-0.01-18-1-1716.112.93.2114.914.70.18
Derrick White8283-0.530.03-0.57-0.01-18-1-1716.112.93.2114.914.70.18

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
KJ Simpson72720.57-0.070.64-0.0822-32514.715.6-0.9815.316.9-1.56
Nikola Joki?88880.53-0.030.57-0.0520-12115.112.22.9015.913.52.36
Cameron Johnson86870.51-0.010.52-0.041901915.112.22.8815.814.71.08
Tim Hardaway Jr.78770.480.020.460.041541114.616.4-1.8016.313.13.17
Spencer Jones78780.440.060.39-0.081811715.511.83.7015.914.90.93
Bruce Brown80810.220.28-0.07-0.11118315.511.34.2315.815.10.74
Jonas Valan?i?nas23220.140.36-0.23-0.07712-518.413.74.6416.015.60.37
DaRon Holmes II23240.130.37-0.25-0.14910-115.714.61.0815.016.0-1.01
Zeke Nnaji37380.110.39-0.28-0.13811-316.613.82.7815.615.8-0.18
Julian Strawther68680.030.47-0.43-0.17712-516.510.65.9015.316.8-1.57
Christian Braun62610.000.50-0.49-0.05217-1515.813.12.7616.414.51.94
Jamal Murray1314-0.010.51-0.52-0.01019-1919.514.15.3116.715.51.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 77, DAL 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,194.4%
SAS 76, CHA 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%
ORL 96, BOS 1170.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%