NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	2.3 [793]		MVP	Reed Sheppard (HOU): +12.6%
Houston Rockets	128		Comeback	1.2 [811]		LVP	Precious Achiuwa (SAC): -9.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	19	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Daeqwon Plowden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.02	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	68%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Killian Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	9	17%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maxime Raynaud	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	9	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reed Sheppard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.01	21	62%	0.14	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.02	0.09	13	76%	0.10	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	13	72%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	7	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	89%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JD Davison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	30.9	0.0	26.9	0.0	23.0	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	29.0	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.2%

HOU +1.5%

HOU +2.0%

HOU +7.3%

SAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.4	16.0	14.2	97.0	133.3	113.3
season	14.3	15.4		107.7	116.0
opponent	14.0	14.1		110.6	119.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	13.1	13.6	13.1	13.4
HOU	16.3	14.6	15.8	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keegan Murray	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-24	17	13.3	13.4	-0.12	16.2	16.0	0.18
Killian Hayes	61	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-18	5	13.4	13.3	0.12	16.6	15.1	1.59
Drew Eubanks	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	-19	7	13.2	13.5	-0.23	16.5	15.7	0.85
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	69	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-25	19	13.3	13.5	-0.15	16.6	14.8	1.72
Precious Achiuwa	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-19	7	14.4	11.7	2.68	16.1	15.9	0.23
DeMar DeRozan	58	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-14	-3	13.6	13.1	0.45	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Maxime Raynaud	72	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.36	-25	-6	-19	13.2	13.8	-0.61	15.4	17.5	-2.07
Russell Westbrook	65	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	-13	-5	13.6	12.9	0.72	15.5	17.1	-1.55
Malik Monk	77	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.32	-27	-4	-23	13.9	11.7	2.24	15.8	16.9	-1.08
Nique Clifford	95	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	-9	-13	13.5	11.2	2.29	16.1	15.5	0.55
Daeqwon Plowden	98	95	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.41	-31	0	-31	13.3	18.5	-5.22	16.0	23.0	-7.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reed Sheppard	85	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	1	29	15.7	18.5	-2.84	13.8	9.6	4.21
Alperen Sengun	83	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	1	29	15.7	18.2	-2.54	13.9	10.2	3.68
Aaron Holiday	89	93	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.32	27	4	23	16.3	12.4	3.89	13.4	13.0	0.41
Josh Okogie	78	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.29	23	8	15	16.3	14.7	1.68	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Kevin Durant	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	16	-1	15.7	16.7	-1.03	13.5	13.2	0.23
Jabari Smith Jr.	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	21	-11	16.1	15.8	0.33	14.2	11.9	2.27
Tari Eason	53	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	21	-11	15.5	16.7	-1.29	13.5	13.2	0.29
Jeff Green	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	16	-1	16.0	16.1	-0.06	13.1	13.6	-0.52
Clint Capela	59	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	17	-3	16.2	15.8	0.45	14.1	12.1	2.06
Isaiah Crawford	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	24	-17	17.1	15.4	1.73	13.1	13.5	-0.41
JD Davison	23	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	32	-33	17.6	15.5	2.07	13.1	13.5	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, CHI 127	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
POR 96, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DEN 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%