NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	124		Excitement	7.9 [258]		MVP	Donte DiVincenzo (MIN): +20.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	121		Comeback	1.4 [678]		LVP	Toumani Camara (POR): -10.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.09	0.01	13	73%	0.25	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.02	0.03	16	88%	0.29	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.00	5	83%	0.23	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Julius Randle	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	9	59%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0,0	0.01	-0.07	-0.06	27	53%	0.10	5	-0.11	10	70%	0.01
Bones Hyland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	5	83%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	10	76%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.02	-0.04	7	69%	0.15	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	65%	0.17	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
V�t Krej?�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	18	47%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	0.05	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.14	15	87%	0.10
Toumani Camara	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	14	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.1	35.5	14.4	27.1	2.3	43.9	147.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +51.7%

POR -9.0%

POR -3.3%

MIN +10.3%

MIN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	14.2	120.4	117.5	113.4
season	13.9	13.8		115.1	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.1		113.5	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	13.1	14.6	14.9	14.2
POR	13.5	13.1	15.4	12.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	92	92	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.45	9	-6	15	14.4	13.0	1.39	13.7	13.5	0.15
Naz Reid	87	87	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-11	25	14.8	11.2	3.54	13.9	12.7	1.17
Julius Randle	79	80	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-3	9	14.7	12.7	2.05	14.0	12.5	1.55
Anthony Edwards	93	91	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-3	9	14.4	12.8	1.60	13.6	14.2	-0.65
Donte DiVincenzo	91	91	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	0	3	14.4	13.4	0.93	13.8	12.7	1.05
Rudy Gobert	94	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-3	9	14.6	10.9	3.67	14.0	10.3	3.74
Ayo Dosunmu	79	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	-5	13	14.7	12.8	1.84	14.1	12.3	1.71
Bones Hyland	62	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	-1	5	14.5	13.9	0.57	14.0	13.2	0.85
Terrence Shannon Jr.	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	12.9	14.6	-1.73	12.8	13.9	-1.10

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	78	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	2	-7	14.0	12.6	1.43	14.3	14.1	0.23
Donovan Clingan	94	95	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	2	-7	14.0	10.6	3.42	14.4	12.1	2.30
Kris Murray	73	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	8	-19	13.7	13.6	0.11	14.8	12.8	2.01
Scoot Henderson	103	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.7	0.0	13.68	14.2	0.0	14.24
Jrue Holiday	86	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	13.6	13.9	-0.24	14.6	12.2	2.43
Jerami Grant	87	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	2	-7	13.6	14.1	-0.45	14.3	14.1	0.13
Sidy Cissoko	77	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	11	-25	14.2	12.2	2.04	14.5	13.4	1.17
V�t Krej?�	98	100	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	2	-7	13.7	12.8	0.92	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Toumani Camara	88	89	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.47	-9	6	-15	13.7	13.7	-0.06	14.8	10.9	3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.2%
WAS 121, PHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0,0	93.6%
POR 101, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.7%