inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 109 Excitement8.2 [236] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +21.5%
New Orleans Pelicans 113 Comeback1.7 [443] LVPPat Spencer (GSW): -17.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Moses Moody0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.160.070.051371%0.211-0.03875%-0.00
De'Anthony Melton0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.080.050.050.022055%0.153-0.061182%-0.01
Draymond Green0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.02-0.011150%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Will Richard-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Quinten Post-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.010.00743%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Gary Payton II-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.01729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Brandin Podziemski-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.040.011842%0.043-0.08250%-0.01
Gui Santos-0.090,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.011354%0.086-0.172100%0.01
Pat Spencer-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.090.00736%-0.053-0.1300%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.220.220.080.140.012155%0.241-0.03560%-0.02
Karlo Matkovi?0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.00671%0.101-0.02250%-0.02
Saddiq Bey0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.090.090.010.06-0.021358%0.204-0.115100%0.02
Jordan Poole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.04-0.021152%0.112-0.051100%0.01
Bryce McGowens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00570%0.0700.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.01367%0.051-0.02367%-0.00
Jeremiah Fears0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.031036%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Dejounte Murray0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.010.011154%0.065-0.112100%0.00
Herbert Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.01828%-0.0800.002100%0.00
Derik Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.001330%-0.071-0.0210%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.331.90.028.50.039.10.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +21.2%
NOP +2.6%
NOP +7.6%
NOP +16.6%
NOP +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWNOPNBAGSWNOPNBA
this game13.613.114.2100.0106.6113.4
season14.714.1113.0112.3
opponent14.113.7115.9112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.015.314.212.013.6
NOP14.012.812.912.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
De'Anthony Melton7472-0.15-0.350.19-0.274-81213.014.8-1.7913.212.90.37
Draymond Green8280-0.16-0.340.18-0.315-91413.414.3-0.9613.213.00.12
Pat Spencer6763-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-4414.112.91.1513.412.70.73
Gary Payton II6866-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-84-1214.512.22.2413.312.80.57
Will Richard7774-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.05-73-1014.710.93.8313.412.60.77
Quinten Post9491-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.19-62-814.39.15.2713.311.91.40
Brandin Podziemski109106-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-413.60.013.6113.10.013.13
Moses Moody109106-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-413.60.013.6113.10.013.13
Gui Santos109106-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-413.60.013.6113.10.013.13

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karlo Matkovi?91950.50-0.000.510.2110-61613.113.1-0.0014.39.15.13
DeAndre Jordan68710.420.080.340.1210-61613.212.90.2914.412.12.36
Bryce McGowens55560.300.200.090.39-37-1012.913.4-0.5813.114.2-1.08
Saddiq Bey92950.280.220.050.31-15-613.311.91.3913.415.1-1.75
Dejounte Murray77800.270.230.040.39-48-1213.312.70.6613.314.6-1.32
Herbert Jones87910.260.240.020.29-15-613.212.90.2913.514.1-0.53
Jeremiah Fears76780.240.26-0.030.037-31013.113.3-0.1914.411.72.62
Derik Queen82850.170.33-0.160.0640413.113.2-0.1514.311.23.03
Zion Williamson86890.100.40-0.310.33-812-2013.212.90.2213.414.6-1.27
Jordan Poole75780.080.42-0.35-0.075-1613.412.50.8214.411.72.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 98, GSW 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,193.0%
MEM 97, UTA 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,1,192.4%
CLE 93, NYK 1020.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.54,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,192.3%