NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	6.5 [552]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +30.5%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	1.8 [1120]		LVP	Deyonta Davis (MEM): -13.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.26	0.06	0.02	12	117%	0.39	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.10	0.04	13	73%	0.26	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Dillon Brooks	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kobi Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	3	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Jarell Martin	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	8	37%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.11	0.02	10	95%	0.31	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.04	-0.07	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	7	81%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	15	57%	0.14	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	15	55%	0.10	3	-0.11	10	60%	-0.06
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	64%	0.08	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	26.3	14.7	27.2	2.3	35.5	130.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.5%

UTA +2.1%

UTA +3.5%

MEM -6.8%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	14.7	104.3	115.1	107.5
season	15.4	15.1		103.4	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.6		103.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.6	15.3	15.7	13.7	15.5
UTA	14.4	17.4	16.3	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobi Simmons	48	48	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.02	6	-16	22	15.3	15.7	-0.42	16.3	14.6	1.69
Marc Gasol	44	42	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-14	18	15.5	15.5	0.01	17.4	13.8	3.61
Dillon Brooks	49	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-6	2	15.7	15.3	0.46	16.8	14.0	2.77
Jarell Martin	57	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	15.2	16.1	-0.93	16.7	13.6	3.08
Ivan Rabb	26	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-7	4	15.3	15.6	-0.34	14.0	16.0	-2.05
JaMychal Green	37	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	-1	-8	16.0	15.2	0.85	17.3	14.3	2.98
MarShon Brooks	37	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-12	14	15.0	15.9	-0.86	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Wayne Selden	47	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	15.8	15.3	0.51	14.1	17.0	-2.85
Deyonta Davis	23	24	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	1	-12	15.8	15.4	0.35	13.6	16.1	-2.46
Ben McLemore	48	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	0	-10	15.3	15.8	-0.46	13.9	17.0	-3.06
Marquis Teague	49	50	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	7	-24	15.9	15.1	0.81	14.6	16.5	-1.93

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Exum	52	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-4	18	14.3	16.9	-2.55	16.5	14.4	2.07
Royce O'Neale	69	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-6	22	15.5	15.4	0.05	15.7	14.9	0.86
Derrick Favors	62	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	1	8	15.8	14.7	1.16	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Donovan Mitchell	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-6	22	15.7	14.6	1.08	15.7	14.8	0.91
Joe Ingles	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	8	-6	16.1	13.1	2.95	15.0	17.6	-2.66
Jae Crowder	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	6	-2	14.7	16.1	-1.37	16.5	14.7	1.83
Alec Burks	30	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.23	-5	15	-20	14.1	16.1	-2.04	14.2	16.1	-1.85
Rudy Gobert	55	57	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	9	-8	16.1	14.5	1.65	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Jonas Jerebko	9	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	17	-24	16.3	15.4	0.98	14.0	15.7	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 88, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
ORL 81, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%
NOP 92, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%