NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	8.2 [234]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +37.5%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	2.3 [622]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -16.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.4,0.37,0.37	0.15	0.22	-0.01	17	74%	0.48	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Landry Shamet	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	9	76%	0.20	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	79%	0.12	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Sochan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Alvarado	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	19	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
OG Anunoby	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	11	37%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.14	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.01	7	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	10	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Matas Buzelis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	12	52%	0.06	3	-0.13	5	80%	0.03
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	10	26%	-0.13	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.0	27.1	0.0	26.2	0.0	35.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.4%

CHI -9.7%

NYK +4.7%

NYK +15.7%

CHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	14.2	104.0	102.1	113.4
season	14.8	13.6		117.8	111.5
opponent	14.2	14.1		116.3	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	15.1	13.1	15.5	14.5
CHI	15.3	14.2	13.6	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	86	84	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-5	16	14.9	12.5	2.41	14.8	13.2	1.61
OG Anunoby	90	88	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-6	18	14.6	13.5	1.09	15.1	9.6	5.50
Mikal Bridges	77	77	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-5	16	14.9	13.4	1.44	14.9	13.1	1.76
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	84	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	15.3	10.7	4.68	15.0	11.5	3.47
Landry Shamet	98	96	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	0	6	14.8	4.7	10.15	14.6	8.0	6.61
Jalen Brunson	100	97	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-1	8	14.7	0.0	14.66	14.5	0.0	14.55
Jeremy Sochan	75	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	0	6	14.6	14.3	0.23	14.4	15.1	-0.77
Jose Alvarado	88	85	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	14.5	14.8	-0.38	14.7	13.5	1.19
Ariel Hukporti	92	91	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.10	-1	7	-8	14.9	10.4	4.47	14.7	12.7	2.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	30	31	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-13	20	14.4	14.6	-0.26	15.5	14.1	1.35
Rob Dillingham	86	89	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	14.8	12.9	1.85	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Jalen Smith	46	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	5	-16	14.3	14.8	-0.46	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Matas Buzelis	85	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-4	2	14.5	14.8	-0.33	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Patrick Williams	92	95	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	-3	0	14.6	14.4	0.15	14.4	16.5	-2.11
Tre Jones	97	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.5	0.0	14.55	14.5	0.0	14.51
Josh Giddey	65	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	3	-12	14.8	14.1	0.63	14.7	14.2	0.42
Guerschon Yabusele	86	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	1	-8	14.8	12.7	2.05	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Nick Richards	82	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	2	-10	15.2	10.9	4.27	14.8	13.2	1.61
Isaac Okoro	81	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	15.0	12.0	3.05	14.7	13.7	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.36,0.16,0.4,0.31,0.64,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, MEM 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.23,0.09,0	91.7%
DET 94, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.04,0	91.3%
CHA 119, BKN 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.46,0.09,0.02,0	91.2%