NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	119		Excitement	8.6 [189]		MVP	Cody Martin (CHA): +31.1%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	4.2 [152]		LVP	Kevin Durant (BKN): -14.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Martin	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.31,0.31	0.10	0.21	0.00	3	133%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.02	-0.03	21	66%	0.27	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
P.J. Washington	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.07	0.01	12	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	47%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	12	54%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.14	0.02	-0.13	0.04	24	44%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.07

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	53%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.10	-0.01	12	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	11	55%	-0.03
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.28,-0.24,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.07	-0.01	22	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.16	0.03	24	50%	-0.07	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	30.4	14.5	28.5	2.4	31.6	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +48.3%

BKN -4.7%

CHA +8.3%

BKN -2.8%

CHA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	15.3	13.2	14.5	117.8	108.9	110.8
season	14.0	14.4		112.9	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.1	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	14.5	14.0	17.6	15.3
BKN	11.9	14.3	13.2	13.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Martin	44	44	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-6	21	14.2	16.2	-2.02	13.7	12.9	0.82
Terry Rozier	78	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-6	21	15.5	14.7	0.84	13.3	13.0	0.24
P.J. Washington	63	64	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-8	25	15.8	14.4	1.36	13.4	12.9	0.56
Miles Bridges	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-5	19	15.1	16.1	-1.08	13.5	12.4	1.09
LaMelo Ball	78	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-4	17	15.1	15.9	-0.74	13.4	12.6	0.79
Mason Plumlee	59	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	10	-11	15.9	14.4	1.53	12.9	13.6	-0.67
Isaiah Thomas	25	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	9	-9	15.8	15.1	0.67	13.4	13.2	0.21
Montrezl Harrell	14	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	14.7	15.4	-0.68	12.5	13.3	-0.80
Jalen McDaniels	29	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.14	-11	20	-31	15.4	15.2	0.16	12.9	13.3	-0.45
Kelly Oubre Jr.	37	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.19	-13	22	-35	15.0	15.5	-0.43	12.2	13.8	-1.67

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	26	27	0.38	-0.88	1.27	-0.09	16	-25	41	12.3	13.5	-1.23	14.7	15.5	-0.81
James Johnson	26	26	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.10	12	-21	33	12.1	13.6	-1.54	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Kessler Edwards	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-8	7	13.6	13.2	0.38	15.8	15.3	0.57
Nic Claxton	35	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-10	11	11.9	13.9	-1.95	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Goran Dragic	62	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-13	17	12.7	14.0	-1.32	15.6	14.7	0.90
Andre Drummond	63	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	14.0	11.9	2.08	15.7	14.6	1.15
Bruce Brown	54	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.07	-22	13	-35	13.4	13.1	0.29	14.4	16.3	-1.95
Kevin Durant	89	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	4	-17	13.1	14.1	-0.98	15.3	15.2	0.16
Kyrie Irving	83	83	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.23	-15	6	-21	14.0	9.8	4.19	15.4	14.8	0.56
Seth Curry	60	61	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.12	-19	10	-29	13.5	12.8	0.78	15.6	14.8	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.46,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 118, CHA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	90.8%
UTA 88, CHA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.28,0	90.5%
CHA 124, PHX 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.02,0	90.1%