NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	6.7 [418]		MVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): +18.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	121		Comeback	1.2 [428]		LVP	Nikola Topi? (OKC): -6.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	12	83%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Keon Ellis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	14	67%	0.13	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Jaylon Tyson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schr�der	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dean Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	61%	0.04	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.07
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	19	49%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cason Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.07	-0.02	17	56%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.02	-0.03	13	73%	0.20	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	3	133%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	6	81%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	14	46%	0.06	2	-0.02	9	67%	0.03
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Topi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	0.1	30.8	14.4	33.0	0.1	36.8	143.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +36.9%

OKC +2.8%

OKC +4.0%

OKC +5.2%

OKC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	OKC	NBA	CLE	OKC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.2	113.0	118.6	113.4
season	13.6	13.8		116.5	116.3
opponent	14.6	14.6		105.4	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	15.0	12.0	14.8	14.0
OKC	12.3	14.4	15.7	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	71	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	0	-8	13.8	14.3	-0.54	14.1	15.5	-1.37
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-10	12	15.2	13.5	1.69	15.4	14.2	1.23
Keon Ellis	70	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-18	28	14.2	13.4	0.75	15.8	11.3	4.49
Jaylon Tyson	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	2	-12	13.6	14.6	-1.00	13.9	15.4	-1.44
Evan Mobley	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	13.7	14.5	-0.78	15.0	13.4	1.61
Sam Merrill	99	102	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	14.0	7.0	7.03	14.5	0.0	14.50
Donovan Mitchell	100	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.0	0.0	13.96	14.5	0.0	14.50
Dennis Schr�der	84	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	1	-10	13.9	14.5	-0.64	15.0	11.7	3.24
James Harden	90	92	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	8	-24	14.2	11.5	2.73	14.6	13.3	1.33
Jarrett Allen	78	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.14	-14	6	-20	14.7	11.4	3.33	15.0	12.8	2.22

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cason Wallace	92	90	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-8	24	14.6	13.3	1.33	14.2	11.5	2.73
Kenrich Williams	96	95	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	14.8	9.3	5.49	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Aaron Wiggins	87	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-1	10	15.0	11.7	3.24	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Chet Holmgren	90	89	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-7	22	14.8	11.9	2.93	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Luguentz Dort	100	99	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	14.6	9.0	5.61	14.1	3.0	11.07
Isaiah Joe	90	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	3	2	14.9	11.2	3.78	14.3	10.9	3.40
Isaiah Hartenstein	86	85	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-4	16	15.0	12.1	2.89	14.4	11.7	2.62
Nikola Topi?	43	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-7	22	12.9	15.7	-2.79	14.0	13.9	0.07
Jaylin Williams	68	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	1	6	14.0	15.5	-1.46	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Jared McCain	68	68	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	6	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.13	13.5	15.0	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
CLE 80, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
CLE 82, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.5%