NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	120		Excitement	5.2 [677]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIA): +30.6%
Miami Heat	136		Comeback	1.1 [1006]		LVP	Cam Spencer (MEM): -7.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	-0.00	-0.00	17	67%	0.17	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Javon Small	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0.10	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	-0.01	0.08	13	89%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	90%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	15	56%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ty Jerome	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	16	50%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Taylor Hendricks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Walter Clayton Jr.	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahmai Mashack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.30	0.06	0.05	10	108%	0.33	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.04	-0.04	16	64%	0.24	2	-0.03	7	29%	-0.05
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.08	0.04	-0.12	15	42%	0.11	4	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	6	86%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keshad Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Keels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myron Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	0.0	28.3	0.0	30.4	0.0	33.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +11.6%

MIA +20.8%

MIA +14.1%

MIA +0.9%

MIA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIA	NBA	MEM	MIA	NBA
this game	13.5	13.1	14.2	110.1	127.1	113.7
season	13.8	12.9		111.9	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.0	117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	14.7	13.2	12.2	13.5
MIA	12.4	13.5	12.0	14.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Clayton Jr.	57	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-15	14	14.4	12.6	1.73	12.7	13.5	-0.78
Ty Jerome	48	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-8	0	15.1	12.3	2.83	12.8	13.3	-0.46
Taylor Hendricks	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-11	6	13.8	13.1	0.78	13.2	12.9	0.30
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-7	-2	15.0	11.9	3.13	12.9	13.3	-0.36
Jaylen Wells	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-8	0	14.8	12.0	2.73	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Cam Spencer	98	97	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	-4	-8	13.6	13.0	0.60	13.1	13.1	-0.04
Scotty Pippen Jr.	103	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	5	-26	14.0	5.3	8.69	13.0	13.4	-0.35
Javon Small	109	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	13.5	0.0	13.54	13.1	0.0	13.07
Jahmai Mashack	109	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	13.5	0.0	13.54	13.1	0.0	13.07
GG Jackson	109	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	0	-16	13.5	0.0	13.54	13.1	0.0	13.07

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	91	93	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	12.7	15.3	-2.64	14.0	11.1	2.91
Tyler Herro	91	93	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	12.7	15.3	-2.64	14.0	11.1	2.91
Pelle Larsson	87	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-1	18	12.9	13.7	-0.78	14.6	9.7	4.87
Andrew Wiggins	84	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	-2	20	13.1	13.1	-0.03	14.2	11.2	3.09
Dru Smith	89	91	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	6	4	13.1	12.9	0.21	13.3	14.7	-1.41
Kel'el Ware	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	8	0	12.7	13.7	-0.93	13.5	13.5	0.02
Kasparas Jaku?ionis	82	81	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	9	-2	13.0	13.2	-0.12	13.7	13.1	0.63
Bam Adebayo	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	0	16	13.0	13.2	-0.16	14.6	11.3	3.34
Norman Powell	79	80	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	3	10	13.2	12.6	0.62	14.3	11.3	3.04
Simone Fontecchio	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	14.5	12.6	1.89	12.2	14.0	-1.80
Keshad Johnson	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	14.5	12.6	1.89	12.2	14.0	-1.80
Trevor Keels	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	14.5	12.6	1.89	12.2	14.0	-1.80
Myron Gardner	40	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	15	-14	13.9	12.6	1.37	14.8	12.8	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 69, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 77, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
IND 95, BOS 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%