NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	122		Excitement	8.3 [223]		MVP	Luka Don?i? (LAL): +39.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	125		Comeback	1.4 [657]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -13.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.11	0.02	12	64%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	19	72%	0.29	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.14	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.13	1	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
John Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	16	57%	0.16	3	-0.15	14	79%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	0.02	8	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Don?i?	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.39	0.39	0.18	0.22	0.00	25	62%	0.44	2	-0.05	11	73%	-0.03
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.12	-0.02	15	78%	0.38	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.07
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	-0.00	4	70%	0.18	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	13	46%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	0.0	35.4	0.0	31.1	0.0	38.5	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.1%

LAC -2.3%

LAC -9.1%

LAL +21.8%

LAL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	14.2	120.8	127.6	113.4
season	15.0	14.5		114.5	115.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		114.5	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.6	13.1	12.5	15.0	14.4
LAL	12.9	14.1	15.3	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	74	71	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-10	17	15.1	12.6	2.50	14.5	14.4	0.09
John Collins	44	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-2	1	15.5	13.5	1.97	13.7	15.1	-1.35
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	64	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	14.6	14.0	0.61	14.7	14.2	0.54
Nicolas Batum	91	89	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	14.6	12.1	2.54	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Brook Lopez	86	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-5	7	14.8	12.1	2.72	14.5	14.4	0.18
Bennedict Mathurin	97	94	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	0	-3	14.6	10.2	4.31	14.6	12.2	2.36
Kris Dunn	95	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.49	3	-6	9	14.4	14.7	-0.30	14.7	11.7	3.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	90	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-5	7	14.5	13.3	1.25	14.6	14.0	0.56
Jordan Miller	87	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	3	-9	14.6	13.2	1.36	14.8	12.9	1.93

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	95	96	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	14.4	18.7	-4.29	14.5	11.6	2.93
Luka Don?i?	95	96	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	14.4	18.7	-4.29	14.5	11.6	2.93
Luke Kennard	93	96	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	2	-1	14.7	11.0	3.70	14.6	9.4	5.25
Marcus Smart	59	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	2	-1	14.9	14.0	0.89	14.8	13.7	1.05
Deandre Ayton	65	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	4	-5	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.9	13.4	1.47
Austin Reaves	88	92	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.47	-4	7	-11	14.7	12.5	2.24	14.2	16.2	-2.02
Rui Hachimura	88	91	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	-2	7	14.4	15.8	-1.44	14.7	11.6	3.09
Jarred Vanderbilt	59	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	-6	15	15.0	13.7	1.27	14.3	14.5	-0.12
Jaxson Hayes	66	68	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	2	-1	14.2	15.2	-1.05	14.4	14.4	0.03
Jake LaRavia	65	67	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	0	3	14.0	15.4	-1.38	14.5	14.1	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.66,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.73,1	92.7%
CHA 81, OKC 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	92.4%
NJN 92, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	92.1%