NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	7.5 [310]		MVP	CJ McCollum (ATL): +16.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.4 [484]		LVP	Trendon Watford (PHI): -8.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.08	0.03	13	64%	0.20	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Jock Landale	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	6	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dyson Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	12	56%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Zaccharie Risacher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	22	53%	0.11	4	-0.13	16	87%	0.04
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	52%	0.06	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.05	-0.03	23	52%	0.19	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	77%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	15	61%	0.17	6	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	64%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	1.3	30.2	14.3	28.8	0.1	42.6	149.5
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.6%

PHI -9.8%

ATL +24.3%

ATL +4.1%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	12.9	13.7	14.2	106.4	100.9	113.4
season	13.3	14.5		113.3	113.2
opponent	13.9	14.4		113.2	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.3	13.7	13.8	13.1	12.9
PHI	13.9	14.6	13.3	13.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	110	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	12.9	0.0	12.92	13.7	0.0	13.73
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	110	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	12.9	0.0	12.92	13.7	0.0	13.73
Onyeka Okongwu	81	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	1	8	13.0	12.6	0.50	14.0	12.9	1.17
Dyson Daniels	100	96	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	1	8	12.9	13.5	-0.64	13.8	13.0	0.80
Jalen Johnson	99	95	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	3	4	13.1	11.2	1.93	13.7	13.6	0.10
Jock Landale	84	80	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	6	-2	12.9	12.9	0.04	14.1	12.6	1.52
Zaccharie Risacher	78	75	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	10	-10	13.2	12.2	0.94	14.5	12.0	2.49
Corey Kispert	76	73	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	11	-12	13.2	12.3	0.90	14.1	13.0	1.05
Mouhamed Gueye	68	65	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	15	-20	13.4	12.2	1.14	13.6	13.9	-0.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Walker	53	55	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.04	0	-10	10	13.8	13.6	0.25	12.5	13.3	-0.75
Cameron Payne	45	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-8	6	14.4	13.3	1.09	14.1	12.0	2.04
Trendon Watford	77	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	14.3	12.3	2.00	13.0	12.6	0.39
Kelly Oubre Jr.	87	91	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	14.1	11.8	2.30	13.2	11.5	1.68
Adem Bona	87	91	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	14.0	12.3	1.78	12.9	13.1	-0.16
VJ Edgecombe	79	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	14.0	12.8	1.22	13.3	11.9	1.36
Andre Drummond	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	13.9	13.2	0.76	12.8	13.3	-0.47
Dominick Barlow	70	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	0	-10	14.1	13.0	1.14	12.6	13.6	-0.98
Quentin Grimes	106	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.7	0.0	13.73	12.9	0.0	12.92
Tyrese Maxey	106	110	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.7	0.0	13.73	12.9	0.0	12.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.2,0.17,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, DEN 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
UTA 114, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.6%
WAS 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.2%