NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	105		Excitement	9.2 [116]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +43.9%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	11.8 [29]		LVP	Amen Thompson (HOU): -17.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.44	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.18,0.44	0.02	0.41	-0.01	20	55%	0.54	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.05
Bennedict Mathurin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	10	53%	0.15	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.08
Brook Lopez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	75%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.04	0.02	10	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
John Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	3	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	65%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	16	44%	0.09	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.15
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	15	60%	0.30	8	-0.32	5	80%	0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	13	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.17	0.01	-0.16	0.02	8	67%	-0.01	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	26.1	13.7	28.1	0.0	43.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +13.5%

LAC +26.5%

HOU -37.2%

LAC +49.6%

HOU -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	16.7	14.2	112.9	110.9	113.5
season	15.3	15.5		114.4	115.9
opponent	13.9	14.2		111.3	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	16.1	12.2	13.9	14.4
HOU	16.0	18.2	17.8	14.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	14.9	13.4	1.49	16.6	16.7	-0.14
Bennedict Mathurin	93	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.4	0.0	14.44	16.7	0.0	16.65
Brook Lopez	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	-4	11	14.4	14.8	-0.43	17.3	12.9	4.48
Derrick Jones Jr.	84	83	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	2	-1	14.6	12.9	1.72	16.6	17.6	-1.00
Kris Dunn	87	86	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	14.9	8.5	6.35	16.6	17.2	-0.55
John Collins	87	86	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.37	-1	4	-5	14.9	8.5	6.35	16.6	17.2	-0.55
Jordan Miller	67	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	0	3	14.2	15.0	-0.78	17.0	15.8	1.19
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	46	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	6	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.40	16.8	16.5	0.25
Kobe Sanders	55	54	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	11	-19	14.6	14.2	0.43	17.0	16.2	0.84

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reed Sheppard	78	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	2	-7	17.3	13.2	4.05	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Josh Okogie	17	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	3	-9	18.1	16.3	1.73	15.9	14.1	1.80
Clint Capela	85	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-3	3	16.6	17.9	-1.30	14.5	13.7	0.79
Alperen Sengun	91	93	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	16.8	2.0	14.81	14.4	0.0	14.44
Jabari Smith Jr.	92	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.7	0.0	16.65	14.4	0.0	14.44
Amen Thompson	92	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.7	0.0	16.65	14.4	0.0	14.44
Tari Eason	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	3	-9	16.6	16.9	-0.34	14.8	12.6	2.27
Kevin Durant	86	87	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.37	-8	5	-13	16.8	15.0	1.77	14.5	14.0	0.47
Jae'Sean Tate	65	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	6	-15	16.4	17.2	-0.75	14.0	15.6	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.62,0.37,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 78, IND 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.42,0	90.7%
LAL 122, PHX 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.81,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.05,0	90.4%
TOR 92, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.16,0	89.9%