NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	116		Excitement	8.7 [155]		MVP	Desmond Bane (ORL): +35.1%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	2.0 [109]		LVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): -12.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.26,0.27	0.19	0.11	0.03	20	74%	0.46	3	-0.18	6	100%	0.04
Jericho Sims	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.09	0.00	6	100%	0.27	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Ousmane Dieng	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.03	0.00	10	85%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	14	51%	0.22	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.09
AJ Green	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Nance	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.04	0.02	15	44%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.14	-0.00	17	89%	0.51	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.05
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.00	5	86%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	14	53%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.07	-0.04	7	33%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Noah Penda	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	0.01	16	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	7	31%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	27.2	13.4	28.8	0.1	39.2	137.8
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +29.1%

MIL +16.5%

MIL +33.4%

ORL -33.2%

MIL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	14.2	122.1	116.1	113.5
season	14.7	14.1		112.1	112.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.4	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.6	14.6	15.5	16.7	15.9
ORL	13.2	16.7	15.8	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Porter Jr.	89	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-1	10	15.7	18.3	-2.64	14.9	11.3	3.61
Cam Thomas	84	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	4	0	16.3	12.5	3.75	14.4	16.9	-2.53
Jericho Sims	82	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	16.6	11.5	5.10	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Myles Turner	84	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	16.0	14.6	1.39	14.9	13.1	1.80
Kyle Kuzma	77	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	5	-2	16.1	15.1	1.00	14.7	14.8	-0.07
Ousmane Dieng	82	81	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	15.8	16.2	-0.43	14.6	15.2	-0.52
Pete Nance	26	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	7	-6	17.7	15.2	2.52	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Bobby Portis	70	69	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	10	-12	16.3	14.7	1.55	14.3	16.0	-1.74
AJ Green	78	76	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	16.4	13.5	2.84	15.1	13.1	1.95
Gary Harris	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	13	-18	16.1	15.7	0.35	13.3	15.4	-2.18

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jase Richardson	36	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-13	18	14.8	14.6	0.16	16.5	15.5	1.02
Tristan da Silva	71	73	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	14.3	16.0	-1.75	16.3	14.3	2.01
Noah Penda	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	16.2	14.4	1.87	14.9	16.1	-1.12
Anthony Black	52	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	15.3	13.9	1.40	15.9	15.8	0.15
Moritz Wagner	67	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-9	10	14.0	16.5	-2.54	16.1	15.2	0.92
Paolo Banchero	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-5	2	14.9	13.1	1.80	16.0	14.6	1.39
Wendell Carter Jr.	78	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	14.8	14.2	0.61	16.0	15.1	0.95
Desmond Bane	93	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.7	0.0	14.71	15.9	0.0	15.86
Franz Wagner	93	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.7	0.0	14.71	15.9	0.0	15.86
Jalen Suggs	91	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	0	-8	14.6	19.0	-4.38	16.0	5.0	10.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.45,0.24,0.26,0	92.8%
MIA 102, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.45,0.02,0	92.5%
POR 88, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0	92.4%