NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	8.6 [190]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +41.6%
Detroit Pistons	85		Comeback	2.3 [134]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -32.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.42	0.07	0.34	-0.01	25	53%	0.44	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1	0.05	0.11	0.06	10	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.04
Dan Dickau	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ime Udoka	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	10	30%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.14,0.02,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.18	-0.00	12	63%	0.41	3	-0.20	3	100%	0.08
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	35%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	13	36%	-0.06	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.33	-0.33	0.02	-0.36	-0.01	22	49%	-0.31	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	27.3	17.6	25.3	3.2	36.6	138.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.5%

POR +6.4%

POR +25.5%

POR +9.8%

DET -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	18.7	16.6	15.4	107.3	104.9	104.5
season	16.7	16.8		103.1	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.5	17.5	19.6	19.4	18.7
DET	16.6	16.0	16.4	17.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	48	49	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-1	5	18.4	19.2	-0.83	16.1	17.4	-1.38
Jarrett Jack	69	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	3	-3	18.7	18.6	0.12	16.7	16.0	0.74
Juan Dixon	52	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	3	-3	19.2	17.9	1.34	16.2	17.5	-1.37
Joel Przybilla	35	33	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.29	1	2	-1	17.9	19.3	-1.45	17.5	16.0	1.43
Ime Udoka	45	45	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	4	-5	18.5	18.9	-0.41	17.2	15.9	1.29
Zach Randolph	69	67	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	-3	9	19.0	17.2	1.86	16.7	16.4	0.30
Raef LaFrentz	4	4	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	1	1	15.5	18.9	-3.38	21.5	16.4	5.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	2	-1	19.7	17.8	1.93	15.7	17.5	-1.82
Martell Webster	30	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	0	3	17.9	19.2	-1.34	16.7	16.6	0.07
Sergio Rodriguez	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	1	1	14.9	19.1	-4.22	13.7	16.9	-3.16
Dan Dickau	6	7	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	23.0	18.4	4.62	20.3	16.3	4.03
Jamaal Magloire	4	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	20.5	18.6	1.87	15.6	16.7	-1.07

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	17	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	14.5	17.2	-2.63	18.4	18.8	-0.39
Nazr Mohammed	33	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	17.4	16.1	1.33	18.6	18.8	-0.21
Antonio McDyess	31	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	2	-7	15.3	17.4	-2.13	19.5	18.2	1.28
Dale Davis	12	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	4	-11	14.9	16.9	-1.98	20.4	18.4	1.98
Rasheed Wallace	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.46	5	-8	13	17.1	14.7	2.39	18.5	19.7	-1.28
Tayshaun Prince	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-1	-1	16.5	16.9	-0.38	18.7	18.6	0.09
Chauncey Billups	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.46	1	-4	5	17.0	15.1	1.89	18.9	17.9	0.95
Richard Hamilton	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.43	-4	1	-5	17.1	14.0	3.06	18.6	19.4	-0.82
Ronald Murray	44	43	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	5	-13	16.4	16.9	-0.53	18.2	19.3	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.16,0	92.0%
CHA 91, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	91.8%
HOU 90, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.04,0	91.6%