NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	95		Excitement	1.5 [746]		MVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): +18.6%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.5 [967]		LVP	Kobe Sanders (LAC): -12.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	19	51%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	5	56%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.01
John Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	71%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Dalano Banton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
TyTy Washington Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	13	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	9	11%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.08	-0.03	14	69%	0.23	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	10	80%	0.12	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	22	51%	0.13	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	52%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.4	24.5	0.0	27.4	0.0	33.9	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +47.7%

HOU +6.9%

HOU +3.3%

LAC -6.9%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	14.2	101.1	108.5	113.4
season	14.9	15.4		115.2	115.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		110.6	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	13.5	15.3	14.3	14.5
HOU	16.0	16.0	16.0	16.3	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	14.3	14.6	-0.32	16.3	16.0	0.31
Cam Christie	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	14.3	14.6	-0.32	16.3	16.0	0.31
TyTy Washington Jr.	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	14.3	14.6	-0.32	16.3	16.0	0.31
Dalano Banton	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	14.3	14.6	-0.32	16.3	16.0	0.31
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	9	-25	14.8	14.0	0.77	15.5	17.4	-1.94
Jordan Miller	81	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	5	-17	14.8	12.8	1.97	15.5	19.4	-3.95
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	55	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	9	-25	15.6	13.1	2.50	15.9	16.3	-0.50
Kobe Sanders	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	8	-23	15.0	12.6	2.31	15.7	17.4	-1.71
Kawhi Leonard	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	9	-25	15.1	13.4	1.72	15.6	17.0	-1.47
Bennedict Mathurin	94	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.5	0.0	14.54	16.1	0.0	16.06
Derrick Jones Jr.	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.03	-17	10	-27	15.2	13.2	1.92	15.8	16.8	-1.00
John Collins	76	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	11	-29	15.2	11.9	3.21	15.4	18.8	-3.36
Kris Dunn	80	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	11	-29	15.1	11.1	3.99	15.3	20.8	-5.55

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	93	92	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	16.2	3.0	13.20	14.7	6.0	8.73
Reed Sheppard	94	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	16.1	0.0	16.06	14.7	2.0	12.68
Alperen Sengun	93	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.20	10	-3	13	16.2	3.0	13.20	14.6	10.0	4.59
Kevin Durant	93	92	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	2	3	16.2	1.0	15.23	14.8	3.5	11.28
Clint Capela	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-6	19	15.5	17.0	-1.52	15.9	12.4	3.57
Amen Thompson	93	92	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	16.2	1.0	15.23	14.8	4.0	10.77
Jabari Smith Jr.	93	92	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	16.2	1.0	15.23	14.8	4.0	10.77
Tari Eason	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-3	13	16.1	16.1	0.00	15.0	12.4	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 77, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SEA 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,1	94.8%
CLE 105, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%