inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 119 Excitement8.6 [192] MVPAlex Caruso (OKC): +30.6%
Los Angeles Lakers 110 Comeback2.9 [512] LVPAustin Reaves (LAL): -14.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alex Caruso0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.180.130.008100%0.3100.0010%-0.04
Cason Wallace0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.120.070.050.01967%0.1200.0000%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.070,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.070.040.040.011059%0.111-0.042100%0.02
Jalen Williams0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.060.010.070.021749%0.112-0.051385%0.01
Jared McCain0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.00658%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00679%0.134-0.122100%0.03
Isaiah Joe-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,00.09-0.100.001366%0.071-0.073100%0.06
Kenrich Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0010%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.050.02850%0.012-0.11450%-0.02
Luguentz Dort-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.07-0.00558%0.024-0.14250%-0.01
Aaron Wiggins-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.050.0040%-0.111-0.0300%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Smart0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.080.10-0.011656%0.201-0.01250%-0.01
Jaxson Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00863%0.091-0.03367%-0.01
Rui Hachimura0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01875%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.01570%0.0400.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jake LaRavia0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.06-0.060.01864%0.021-0.026100%0.04
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.001755%0.053-0.07667%-0.05
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.03-0.00333%-0.012-0.0800%0.00
Deandre Ayton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.080.01546%-0.031-0.0730%-0.08
Austin Reaves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.10-0.011452%0.065-0.213100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.630.315.234.30.039.10.0
league avg26.41.929.014.329.72.232.8136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +21.0%
OKC +3.9%
OKC +31.9%
LAL -7.4%
OKC +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCLALNBAOKCLALNBA
this game14.514.214.2119.0110.0113.4
season13.814.5116.3115.9
opponent14.114.6114.5105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.213.716.314.014.5
LAL15.614.013.114.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Caruso82830.480.020.460.1910-11114.713.90.7114.910.93.95
Chet Holmgren87870.480.020.450.2772514.713.11.6713.817.0-3.20
Cason Wallace92910.410.090.330.2172514.712.71.9314.313.60.73
Jaylin Williams84830.320.180.130.2045-114.813.21.5214.811.33.53
Jared McCain30280.280.220.06-0.0210-11113.614.9-1.3814.914.00.93
Luguentz Dort79780.260.240.010.2027-514.913.01.8813.915.4-1.47
Jalen Williams80790.230.27-0.030.2309-915.012.82.1613.915.6-1.71
Isaiah Joe77770.120.38-0.270.0336-314.614.30.3514.513.21.36
Aaron Wiggins74750.080.42-0.340.0227-514.714.00.7714.214.3-0.08
Kenrich Williams24240.020.48-0.47-0.0118-714.214.6-0.4215.613.81.79
Isaiah Hartenstein4544-0.150.65-0.80-0.00-514-1915.713.62.1114.414.10.34

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarred Vanderbilt75750.01-0.510.52-0.052-111314.314.10.1915.112.72.41
Luke Kennard8283-0.18-0.320.13-0.180-9914.512.81.7615.012.12.98
Maxi Kleber910-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-1-717.613.93.6714.014.6-0.59
Deandre Ayton6264-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-5114.813.21.6315.313.12.22
Jake LaRavia6263-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.14-7-2-514.513.80.6114.913.91.06
Rui Hachimura8688-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.20-6-3-314.313.70.5915.010.94.11
Marcus Smart6566-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.17-8-1-714.314.10.2114.813.90.94
Jaxson Hayes9493-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.23-8-1-714.59.35.2014.613.11.49
LeBron James100100-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-90-914.20.014.2214.50.014.53
Austin Reaves100100-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-90-914.20.014.2214.50.014.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.2,0.04,0.15,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 105, CLE 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,091.4%
LAL 102, UTA 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.11,0.01,0,091.4%
IND 128, MIL 1190.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.09,0.03,091.2%