NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	8.4 [157]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +32.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	2.9 [265]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -23.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.32	0.14	0.17	-0.00	20	66%	0.35	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	9	78%	0.23	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	0.03	15	52%	0.01	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	12	31%	-0.11	4	-0.13	8	75%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	8	78%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	14	61%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.09	6	-0.16	6	67%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	40%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	9	24%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	11	38%	-0.01	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.2	14.8	28.0	1.8	31.3	130.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +27.9%

CLE -10.6%

CLE -11.5%

GSW +45.1%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.6	106.1	97.9	102.8
season	15.2	15.5		103.6	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.4		107.1	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	14.6	14.9	18.0	15.2
CLE	12.9	13.6	14.5	16.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	70	68	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.19	21	-11	32	15.6	14.2	1.36	15.1	12.1	2.95
Andris Biedrins	47	46	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.19	18	-8	26	16.2	14.3	1.90	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Monta Ellis	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	7	-4	15.2	15.1	0.11	13.7	15.3	-1.54
Dorell Wright	47	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	10	-10	16.2	14.2	2.02	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Brandon Rush	53	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	-2	14	14.0	16.6	-2.60	15.0	13.4	1.60
David Lee	72	71	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	13	-16	15.7	13.9	1.81	14.0	14.7	-0.61
Klay Thompson	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	7	-4	15.7	14.9	0.81	16.2	13.3	2.87
Dominic McGuire	43	41	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	6	-2	13.3	16.6	-3.22	14.4	14.1	0.28
Ekpe Udoh	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	11	-12	15.5	15.0	0.44	15.1	13.7	1.42
Charles Jenkins	28	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.05	-7	17	-24	13.5	15.8	-2.38	12.1	15.1	-2.95

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semih Erden	28	29	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.12	6	-16	22	17.2	13.0	4.23	15.7	15.0	0.68
Omri Casspi	54	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-5	0	12.9	15.9	-3.06	14.7	15.7	-0.96
Daniel Gibson	74	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-9	8	13.5	16.4	-2.92	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Tristan Thompson	34	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	16.7	12.9	3.80	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Antawn Jamison	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	12.9	17.3	-4.43	15.2	15.1	0.16
Kyrie Irving	72	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	13.8	15.3	-1.50	15.9	12.7	3.20
Alonzo Gee	43	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.28	-5	-5	0	15.9	12.9	3.06	15.7	14.7	0.96
Ramon Sessions	48	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	15.9	12.6	3.26	14.3	16.0	-1.75
Anderson Varejao	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	2	-14	13.0	16.6	-3.59	15.3	14.9	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 105, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.08,0	91.9%
MIA 117, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.37,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.07,0,0,0,0	91.7%
ATL 85, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.6%