NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	128		Excitement	9.3 [120]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +40.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	119		Comeback	2.7 [266]		LVP	Cameron Payne (MIL): -14.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.25	0.17	0.11	0.03	19	67%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.12	-0.00	8	78%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	18	59%	0.21	0	0.00	8	75%	0.03
Andrew Nembhard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.00	6	46%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	7	56%	0.05	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	11	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.07	0.05	9	45%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.24	0.18	0.02	19	73%	0.43	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.06
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	20	52%	0.15	3	-0.14	6	100%	0.07
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	17	49%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Andre Jackson Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.09
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.09	0.07	13	71%	0.07	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.3	31.7	15.6	30.2	3.3	36.7	147.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.9%

MIL -11.9%

IND +19.7%

IND +14.5%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.9	14.5	121.9	111.2	113.9
season	13.8	14.3		120.1	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.7		114.8	117.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	11.8	14.4	12.9	13.2
MIL	15.3	13.9	14.4	12.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Nesmith	59	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-7	23	13.3	13.2	0.06	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Bennedict Mathurin	52	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-8	25	12.2	14.2	-2.01	14.7	13.2	1.55
Isaiah Jackson	37	38	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	-5	19	12.5	13.6	-1.19	13.5	14.2	-0.63
T.J. McConnell	26	28	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	0	9	12.4	13.5	-1.12	13.4	14.1	-0.69
Andrew Nembhard	30	32	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	3	3	12.9	13.3	-0.41	14.9	13.5	1.39
Tyrese Haliburton	79	79	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	9	-9	13.5	12.4	1.12	14.1	13.4	0.69
Buddy Hield	66	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	9	-9	13.9	12.1	1.75	13.2	15.2	-2.04
Myles Turner	68	69	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.27	-5	14	-19	13.6	12.5	1.19	14.2	13.5	0.63
Bruce Brown	62	61	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.24	-5	14	-19	13.5	12.8	0.74	13.6	14.4	-0.84
Obi Toppin	46	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	16	-23	13.2	13.3	-0.06	14.2	13.8	0.42

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	82	80	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-15	21	13.9	14.2	-0.35	13.0	14.1	-1.12
Damian Lillard	91	89	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-15	21	14.1	13.1	0.95	13.5	11.6	1.97
AJ Green	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-8	7	14.5	13.9	0.61	15.6	13.0	2.59
Bobby Portis	37	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-3	-3	16.1	12.8	3.24	12.9	13.4	-0.47
Andre Jackson Jr.	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	10.5	14.1	-3.57	7.5	13.5	-5.96
Brook Lopez	83	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	13.9	14.1	-0.25	13.0	14.0	-1.04
Khris Middleton	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	13.1	15.5	-2.39	13.4	13.0	0.35
Giannis Antetokounmpo	87	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.40	-5	-4	-1	13.8	14.5	-0.76	13.9	9.3	4.62
MarJon Beauchamp	35	33	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	8	-25	13.9	14.0	-0.12	13.5	13.1	0.46
Cameron Payne	39	38	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.08	-18	9	-27	14.0	13.9	0.10	11.8	14.0	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.09,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.14,0.07,0.22,0.04,0	92.4%
MIL 117, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.09,0.15,0	91.0%
SAC 128, PHX 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.09,0.16,0	90.7%