NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	8.5 [194]		MVP	Mike Conley (UTA): +40.1%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	5.8 [211]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -29.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	21	58%	0.30	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.06
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	24	55%	0.19	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Jevon Carter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	1	125%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Wesley Matthews	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	5	90%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	16	57%	0.18	4	-0.21	8	87%	0.06
Brook Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	39%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.27	0.15	0.02	13	97%	0.46	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	8	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.03
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	14	29%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	13	43%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.21,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.19	0.00	32	43%	-0.16	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.5	31.2	14.4	32.3	3.5	45.4	153.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.1%

MIL +22.6%

UTA -8.9%

UTA -3.9%

MIL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.2	14.9	14.5	113.6	108.8	110.8
season	13.7	14.8		112.2	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.4	13.2	13.3	12.8	13.2
UTA	14.8	14.5	14.9	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	80	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	1	4	13.6	11.8	1.77	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Wesley Matthews	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	11.7	15.1	-3.40	14.9	14.9	0.02
Jevon Carter	49	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-7	20	12.2	14.1	-1.87	15.0	14.8	0.25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	2	2	13.5	12.4	1.18	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Grayson Allen	46	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	3	0	14.2	12.4	1.75	15.7	14.2	1.56
Bobby Portis	58	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	8	-10	14.0	12.2	1.82	15.6	13.9	1.72
Serge Ibaka	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	2	2	12.4	13.3	-0.91	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Khris Middleton	74	74	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	12	-18	13.6	12.1	1.53	14.7	15.4	-0.63
Brook Lopez	33	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	12.9	13.3	-0.43	13.9	15.3	-1.43
George Hill	29	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	7	-8	12.4	13.5	-1.10	14.3	15.1	-0.78

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House Jr.	15	14	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-8	10	16.4	14.6	1.76	14.0	13.1	0.92
Jared Butler	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-6	6	7.0	15.1	-8.06	9.5	13.3	-3.78
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	7	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	17.0	14.7	2.25	14.0	13.1	0.86
Hassan Whiteside	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-3	0	14.7	15.0	-0.28	12.3	13.7	-1.35
Royce O'Neale	82	82	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.35	9	-15	24	14.6	16.3	-1.74	13.3	12.8	0.56
Donovan Mitchell	87	87	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-10	14	14.6	16.6	-1.99	13.0	14.6	-1.61
Mike Conley	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-9	12	15.2	14.4	0.78	13.9	11.8	2.15
Eric Paschall	31	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	2	-10	16.4	14.3	2.13	13.1	13.3	-0.17
Rudy Gay	49	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	7	-20	13.6	16.1	-2.44	13.3	13.1	0.23
Rudy Gobert	66	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-3	0	15.0	14.7	0.28	13.7	12.3	1.35
Jordan Clarkson	67	68	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.28	-21	15	-36	15.4	14.0	1.33	12.5	14.6	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.09,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.14,0.07,0.22,0.04,0	91.4%
DET 103, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.74,0.79,0.63,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.01,0	90.2%
NJN 77, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	90.1%