NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	6.9 [347]		MVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): +21.2%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	3.4 [192]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): -18.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.01	9	67%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	-0.00	8	78%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	17	47%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.14	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	10	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	17	60%	0.21	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.01	7	100%	0.18	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.01	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.17	0.00	10	53%	-0.00	3	-0.18	10	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.5	22.4	14.7	23.0	1.8	31.0	117.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +25.9%

PHX -1.5%

HOU +6.5%

HOU +19.6%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	18.1	15.4	15.6	111.6	103.5	102.8
season	15.4	15.0		103.5	104.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		104.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.0	17.3	21.1	16.1	18.1
PHX	13.3	17.0	14.2	17.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	50	51	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.21	27	-20	47	17.8	18.5	-0.65	16.8	13.3	3.51
Chase Budinger	56	56	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.26	25	-18	43	17.3	19.6	-2.37	16.5	13.4	3.12
Patrick Patterson	45	44	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.01	22	-15	37	17.6	18.6	-0.94	16.9	13.9	3.01
Courtney Lee	46	46	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-11	29	17.6	18.6	-1.04	16.8	13.7	3.08
Jordan Hill	41	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-10	27	18.6	17.7	0.89	17.2	13.8	3.44
Chandler Parsons	46	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.36	-13	20	-33	18.2	17.9	0.27	13.7	17.2	-3.53
Kyle Lowry	49	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.38	-14	21	-35	17.6	18.8	-1.26	13.6	17.5	-3.87
Luis Scola	41	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.29	-15	22	-37	18.6	17.6	0.94	13.9	16.9	-3.01
Samuel Dalembert	32	33	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.04	-16	23	-39	18.7	17.7	1.05	13.5	16.6	-3.15
Kevin Martin	24	25	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.01	-16	23	-39	20.7	17.1	3.63	13.4	16.2	-2.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	65	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.39	12	-19	31	13.9	20.0	-6.03	18.2	17.6	0.58
Grant Hill	56	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.43	12	-19	31	13.6	18.7	-5.02	18.1	18.1	0.03
Marcin Gortat	73	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-16	25	14.8	18.8	-3.97	18.6	15.5	3.10
Markieff Morris	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	0	-7	16.9	15.1	1.77	17.6	18.2	-0.59
Jared Dudley	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-10	13	14.3	18.3	-3.91	18.4	17.3	1.08
Michael Redd	33	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	5	-17	17.1	14.4	2.70	17.0	18.8	-1.82
Robin Lopez	11	10	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	7	-21	20.5	14.6	5.91	17.4	18.2	-0.78
Channing Frye	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-7	7	15.1	16.9	-1.77	18.2	17.6	0.59
Josh Childress	22	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	12	-31	19.8	13.9	5.88	17.6	18.2	-0.58
Sebastian Telfair	21	20	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	12	-31	20.0	13.9	6.03	17.6	18.2	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.14,0.07,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.05,0	89.5%
LAL 99, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.54,0.43,0.09,0	89.4%
GSW 105, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	89.1%