NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	136		Excitement	6.9 [389]		MVP	Nikola Joki? (DEN): +18.2%
Chicago Bulls	120		Comeback	3.6 [471]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CHI): -7.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Joki?	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.03	12	73%	0.21	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Bruce Brown	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	5	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.20	1	-0.04	12	67%	-0.02
Jamal Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.04	18	74%	0.21	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.04	0.07	9	78%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Strawther	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	63%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
Christian Braun	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
DaRon Holmes II	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Pickett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	-0.04	11	57%	0.13	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.08	-0.04	13	46%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.06	13	70%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Leonard Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lachlan Olbrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	14	53%	0.08	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.3	30.0	14.4	27.2	1.4	34.6	136.6
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +37.6%

CHI -5.8%

DEN +3.4%

DEN +14.1%

DEN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CHI	NBA	DEN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	14.2	132.0	117.6	113.4
season	14.6	13.6		119.0	111.5
opponent	14.2	14.1		116.3	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.8	14.4	14.4	13.3	14.0
CHI	14.8	12.7	14.4	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Joki?	85	84	1.03	-0.53	1.57	0.01	35	-19	54	13.3	17.3	-4.06	14.6	11.6	3.00
Christian Braun	95	95	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.09	28	-12	40	13.6	18.5	-4.90	14.1	13.1	1.00
Zeke Nnaji	48	49	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.03	28	-12	40	13.5	14.4	-0.94	14.6	13.6	1.03
Cameron Johnson	64	64	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.04	27	-11	38	13.4	14.9	-1.52	14.7	13.0	1.76
Jalen Pickett	52	51	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.06	26	-10	36	13.9	14.1	-0.15	14.6	13.5	1.10
DaRon Holmes II	23	24	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.05	25	-9	34	13.1	14.2	-1.09	14.4	14.0	0.39
Jonas Valan?i?nas	84	82	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.05	20	-4	24	14.0	13.8	0.17	14.7	11.5	3.15
Bruce Brown	93	92	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-2	20	14.3	11.3	2.97	14.4	11.4	2.97
Jamal Murray	90	88	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	0	16	13.6	16.4	-2.75	14.4	12.1	2.33
Julian Strawther	92	91	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-2	20	13.9	15.0	-1.14	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Tim Hardaway Jr.	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-2	20	14.0	14.7	-0.71	14.1	14.5	-0.43

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	97	97	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	2	-20	14.3	9.2	5.13	13.7	17.8	-4.09
Guerschon Yabusele	87	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	4	-24	14.2	13.4	0.80	13.7	15.7	-2.09
Collin Sexton	95	96	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.04	-20	4	-24	14.5	8.6	5.91	14.3	9.7	4.58
Rob Dillingham	88	88	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.01	-22	6	-28	14.4	11.8	2.66	14.2	12.8	1.38
Patrick Williams	81	82	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.01	-25	9	-34	14.4	12.8	1.66	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Isaac Okoro	86	87	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.07	-24	8	-32	14.6	11.3	3.28	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Leonard Miller	26	26	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.10	-23	7	-30	14.4	14.0	0.41	13.3	14.2	-0.90
Lachlan Olbrich	22	21	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.05	-25	9	-34	15.0	13.8	1.12	12.3	14.4	-2.07
Nick Richards	78	78	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.24	-25	9	-34	14.8	11.6	3.26	13.7	14.8	-1.03
Jaden Ivey	73	73	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.14	-29	13	-42	14.9	12.0	2.90	13.0	16.5	-3.51
Matas Buzelis	82	83	-1.03	0.53	-1.57	-0.01	-35	19	-54	14.8	11.2	3.52	13.1	17.7	-4.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.52,0.45,0.3,0.48,0.6,0.78,0.7,0.43,0.28,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 101, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
BKN 112, IND 103	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.24,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0	92.0%
HOU 104, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	90.5%