NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	6.9 [472]		MVP	Jerami Grant (OKC): +18.6%
Charlotte Hornets	91		Comeback	2.4 [543]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -15.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	3	112%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Alex Abrines	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	7	60%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	37%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	27	41%	0.04	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Steven Adams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	14	23%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	9	84%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	4	87%	0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	9	46%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	35%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	13	41%	0.01	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	17	45%	-0.05	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	9	30%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	24.5	15.3	24.5	2.4	23.7	119.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +6.3%

OKC +11.4%

OKC +22.0%

OKC +10.6%

CHA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.7	106.3	95.8	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		109.4	108.7
opponent	14.5	15.3		108.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	15.7	15.1	15.7	15.1
CHA	13.7	14.9	14.9	17.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	26	27	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	14.8	15.2	-0.41	18.1	14.1	4.00
Raymond Felton	30	31	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	4	2	14.1	15.6	-1.42	17.7	14.0	3.71
Josh Huestis	34	33	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	6	-2	15.5	14.9	0.66	16.3	14.6	1.67
Jerami Grant	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	9	-8	14.9	15.3	-0.44	16.4	14.3	2.08
Patrick Patterson	32	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	6	-2	15.0	15.2	-0.16	16.8	14.4	2.42
Steven Adams	63	63	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	4	2	15.2	15.0	0.16	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Terrance Ferguson	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	1	8	15.5	14.9	0.64	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Russell Westbrook	73	73	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	5	0	15.2	14.7	0.55	14.5	17.6	-3.16
Carmelo Anthony	67	67	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	7	-4	15.3	14.6	0.71	14.4	17.2	-2.89
Paul George	73	72	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	11	-12	15.0	15.3	-0.28	14.2	18.5	-4.31

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	68	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-6	2	14.2	17.7	-3.48	15.1	15.0	0.09
Nicolas Batum	67	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-6	2	14.4	17.2	-2.79	15.2	14.8	0.46
Dwight Howard	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-8	6	14.2	18.0	-3.79	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Marvin Williams	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-3	-4	14.2	16.7	-2.56	15.5	14.5	1.01
Frank Kaminsky	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	16.2	14.6	1.58	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Jeremy Lamb	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-10	10	16.7	14.3	2.38	15.2	15.1	0.11
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	0	-10	14.3	16.7	-2.38	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Treveon Graham	32	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	17.7	13.9	3.78	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	30	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-7	4	17.2	14.3	2.91	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Malik Monk	21	21	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	1	-12	18.8	14.2	4.62	15.3	15.1	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.5%
OKC 111, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0,0	92.4%
BOS 107, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0	92.3%