NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	95		Excitement	1.6 [607]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +15.1%
Charlotte Hornets	102		Comeback	16.4 [238]		LVP	Saddiq Bey (NOP): -13.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	20	61%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Herbert Jones	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Karlo Matkovi?	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	13	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.07
Saddiq Bey	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	7	89%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.02	5	62%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	20	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	21	38%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kon Knueppel	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	53%	0.07	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	35%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	0.1	32.5	0.0	30.9	0.0	33.7	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +28.9%

CHA +0.2%

CHA +32.9%

NOP -10.9%

NOP -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHA	NBA	NOP	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.0	14.2	96.9	104.1	113.4
season	14.0	15.1		112.2	116.9
opponent	14.1	14.1		112.6	116.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.8	14.1	14.3	15.2	14.3
CHA	13.2	15.3	13.9	18.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karlo Matkovi?	69	68	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-15	23	14.2	14.5	-0.30	14.3	16.7	-2.36
Jeremiah Fears	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-5	3	14.3	14.3	-0.06	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Yves Missi	31	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	2	-11	14.9	14.0	0.87	17.0	14.1	2.97
Derik Queen	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	0	-7	14.7	13.0	1.66	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Saddiq Bey	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	14.4	13.7	0.71	15.9	11.3	4.53
Herbert Jones	84	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-3	-1	14.6	12.6	2.02	15.4	12.9	2.56
Trey Murphy III	93	93	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	3	-13	14.5	11.4	3.06	15.3	10.4	4.88
Jose Alvarado	89	89	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	4	-15	14.6	11.6	3.03	15.3	12.8	2.48
Zion Williamson	82	84	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	7	-21	14.8	11.8	2.98	15.3	13.5	1.79

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kalkbrenner	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.20	18	-11	29	15.0	15.0	-0.01	14.5	13.9	0.58
Collin Sexton	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-3	13	14.9	15.2	-0.26	14.9	13.2	1.68
Brandon Miller	91	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-1	9	15.2	13.4	1.73	14.8	9.2	5.51
Kon Knueppel	98	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	15.0	0.0	15.03	14.3	0.0	14.31
LaMelo Ball	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.23	9	-2	11	15.1	9.0	6.09	14.4	8.0	6.37
Sion James	91	91	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	1	5	15.4	10.0	5.42	14.6	10.7	3.87
Miles Bridges	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	3	1	16.9	10.9	5.99	14.5	13.9	0.64
Grant Williams	91	92	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	0	7	14.8	18.6	-3.81	14.5	11.5	2.99
Moussa Diabat�	84	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	0	7	15.8	10.6	5.12	14.2	14.9	-0.66
Josh Green	44	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.28	-12	19	-31	15.0	15.0	0.03	15.0	13.7	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.85,1	93.1%
PHI 95, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1	92.9%
DET 91, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,1	92.4%