NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	1.8 [472]		MVP	Myles Turner (MIL): +15.0%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.2 [574]		LVP	AJ Green (MIL): -11.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	16	60%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Rollins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	13	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Nance	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	11	23%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	18	49%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
AJ Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	15%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Sarr	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	53%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	24	47%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tre Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Will Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.07	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Jamir Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.0	30.8	0.0	27.9	0.0	40.2	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +10.2%

WAS +17.5%

WAS +23.9%

MIL -3.4%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	14.2	94.3	109.0	113.4
season	14.7	13.9		110.9	108.7
opponent	13.9	14.3		120.6	117.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	14.7	15.2	13.9	14.4
WAS	14.7	12.9	13.0	14.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Jackson Jr.	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-4	-2	14.7	14.3	0.37	13.7	13.7	-0.05
Ryan Rollins	80	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-8	6	14.1	15.1	-0.95	14.0	12.7	1.29
Pete Nance	85	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	0	-10	14.6	13.5	1.05	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Myles Turner	96	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	14.5	12.4	2.09	13.8	12.6	1.20
Cole Anthony	62	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	4	-18	14.3	14.5	-0.19	13.9	13.5	0.36
Bobby Portis	95	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	2	-14	14.7	10.9	3.82	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Gary Trent Jr.	103	98	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	-2	-6	14.5	8.5	5.97	13.9	3.0	10.95
AJ Green	96	92	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	6	-22	14.7	10.9	3.79	13.5	16.2	-2.74
Kyle Kuzma	87	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	5	-20	14.5	13.7	0.83	13.5	15.2	-1.74

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	80	83	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-7	24	13.4	14.9	-1.46	14.6	13.3	1.37
Alex Sarr	91	95	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-1	12	13.5	16.4	-2.98	14.6	11.9	2.71
Khris Middleton	78	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-3	16	13.4	15.0	-1.69	14.5	13.7	0.90
Kyshawn George	85	89	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-2	14	13.7	13.9	-0.24	14.7	12.5	2.19
Justin Champagnie	88	94	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	0	10	13.7	13.7	-0.02	14.6	12.5	2.02
Jamir Watkins	88	94	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	0	10	13.7	13.7	-0.02	14.6	12.5	2.02
Will Riley	69	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	14.0	13.2	0.78	14.5	13.9	0.60
Bub Carrington	84	89	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	9	-8	14.0	12.3	1.69	14.3	14.6	-0.25
Tre Johnson	23	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.07	10	0	10	13.6	13.8	-0.21	14.5	14.3	0.25
Malaki Branham	64	66	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	12	-14	14.0	13.2	0.88	14.5	14.1	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1	94.5%
UTA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	94.5%
CLE 97, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.98,1	94.4%