NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	112		Excitement	4.2 [936]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +21.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.2 [744]		LVP	Josh Green (CHA): -8.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.01	11	91%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.02	-0.08	14	57%	0.14	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.01	-0.00	17	68%	0.20	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Kon Knueppel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Liam McNeeley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.00	0.10	9	90%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Collin Sexton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	10	27%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Coward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	9	85%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	20	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	133%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.0	22.6	0.0	26.1	0.0	28.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +33.4%

CHA +4.6%

CHA +22.9%

MEM -12.7%

CHA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	14.2	120.4	103.2	113.5
season	15.1	13.8		116.9	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.1		117.2	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.4	15.6	15.8	15.4	15.8
MEM	14.9	17.1	14.2	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Miller	61	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-8	31	15.5	16.2	-0.66	16.4	12.3	4.14
Miles Bridges	64	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.15	24	-9	33	14.6	18.3	-3.72	16.3	12.5	3.75
LaMelo Ball	54	51	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	-9	33	14.7	17.3	-2.59	16.6	13.2	3.45
Kon Knueppel	53	50	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.18	23	-8	31	14.5	17.4	-2.89	16.5	13.4	3.09
Moussa Diabat�	86	88	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-2	19	15.7	17.0	-1.35	15.5	8.3	7.16
Josh Green	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	-3	21	15.3	19.1	-3.82	15.6	11.5	4.05
Sion James	86	87	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	0	15	15.8	15.4	0.35	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Grant Williams	79	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	7	1	15.9	14.9	1.05	14.1	20.2	-6.15
Collin Sexton	69	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	6	3	15.8	15.7	0.00	14.1	17.7	-3.54
Ryan Kalkbrenner	71	70	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	15.7	15.8	-0.03	14.8	15.7	-0.85
Tre Mann	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	15	-15	15.4	15.9	-0.54	14.0	15.4	-1.39
Liam McNeeley	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	15	-15	15.4	15.9	-0.54	14.0	15.4	-1.39

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-9	3	14.3	17.6	-3.26	15.8	15.6	0.18
Vince Williams Jr.	68	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-3	-9	14.7	15.9	-1.23	15.8	15.6	0.19
GG Jackson	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	2	-19	16.0	11.1	4.92	15.6	16.6	-1.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	73	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	6	-27	16.5	9.8	6.72	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Jaylen Wells	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.03	-18	3	-21	15.9	11.7	4.20	15.1	18.9	-3.77
Jock Landale	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	7	-29	16.3	11.3	4.97	14.8	18.7	-3.90
Jaren Jackson Jr.	89	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	4	-23	15.3	10.0	5.31	15.6	18.3	-2.76
Cam Spencer	74	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	3	-21	15.6	12.9	2.64	15.1	18.9	-3.77
John Konchar	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	5	-25	15.6	13.4	2.22	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Cedric Coward	83	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	4	-23	15.7	9.7	6.01	15.7	15.9	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 120, OKC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DAL 106, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DAL 127, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%