NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	120		Excitement	3.7 [1063]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +20.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	1.1 [358]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -7.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.02	-0.02	14	66%	0.23	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.03
Chris Paul	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.02	-0.05	19	73%	0.28	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.25	0.01	0.09	8	110%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.03	22	55%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	7	25%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.26	0.02	0.09	12	93%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	55%	0.06	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	14	59%	0.07	10	-0.15	13	85%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	3.5	31.2	16.4	33.4	3.3	40.7	159.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.6%

LAC +6.1%

LAC +0.9%

LAC +13.1%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	OKC	NBA	LAC	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	13.4	15.1	118.8	108.0	104.2
season	14.6	14.5		110.5	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		103.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	16.1	15.2	16.2	15.3
OKC	12.4	15.2	13.0	13.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	72	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.22	30	-18	48	15.2	15.4	-0.21	14.3	11.1	3.21
DeAndre Jordan	79	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.15	26	-14	40	15.0	16.1	-1.05	14.2	10.5	3.75
Chris Paul	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-5	22	14.8	17.1	-2.35	12.9	15.2	-2.34
Matt Barnes	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-7	26	15.0	16.8	-1.87	13.5	12.5	1.05
Spencer Hawes	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-4	20	15.8	14.4	1.36	13.9	12.3	1.60
Dahntay Jones	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	16	-20	14.0	15.3	-1.33	5.8	13.8	-7.98
CJ Wilcox	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	17.5	15.2	2.32	8.7	13.5	-4.86
Ekpe Udoh	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	17.5	15.2	2.32	8.7	13.5	-4.86
Glen Davis	46	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	20	-28	14.9	15.6	-0.73	12.3	14.3	-1.98
Hedo Turkoglu	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	16	-20	18.0	15.2	2.76	4.0	13.5	-9.47
Nate Robinson	20	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	17	-22	17.1	14.8	2.35	15.2	12.9	2.34
Austin Rivers	45	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.42	-19	31	-50	15.7	14.9	0.84	12.1	14.4	-2.27

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	48	48	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.35	18	-30	48	11.9	14.7	-2.81	15.9	14.7	1.12
Nick Collison	15	14	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.15	11	-23	34	12.5	13.5	-1.07	15.6	15.2	0.44
Dion Waiters	49	51	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-22	32	12.9	13.8	-0.87	16.3	14.2	2.15
Mitch McGary	22	23	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.32	11	-23	34	11.4	13.9	-2.59	18.8	14.2	4.55
Jeremy Lamb	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	12.7	13.4	-0.76	18.5	15.1	3.44
Anthony Morrow	74	75	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-23	34	12.9	14.8	-1.98	15.6	14.2	1.45
D.J. Augustin	44	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-14	16	14.2	12.7	1.43	15.6	15.0	0.65
Kyle Singler	32	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	5	-22	14.4	12.9	1.56	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Andre Roberson	24	24	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	10	-32	13.7	13.3	0.38	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Russell Westbrook	79	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.03	-22	10	-32	12.9	15.3	-2.41	14.2	19.1	-4.95
Enes Kanter	54	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.19	-28	16	-44	14.7	11.8	2.92	14.3	16.5	-2.18
Serge Ibaka	53	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	0.40	-38	26	-64	15.0	11.6	3.37	14.3	16.4	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CLE 106, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHA 96, MIL 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%