NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	3.8 [1084]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +11.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	1.1 [618]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -12.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	63%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	69%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	1	83%	-0.01	3	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.00	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	-0.04	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	40%	-0.03	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	10	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	31.6	16.3	29.6	2.3	26.6	135.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.5%

CLE +3.6%

CHA -4.1%

CLE +8.9%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.5	114.0	94.7	104.0
season	16.2	15.5		104.6	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	18.3	14.9	17.0	16.0
CHA	15.8	13.8	14.5	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	53	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.25	28	-11	39	15.7	16.4	-0.79	15.5	13.8	1.69
LeBron James	54	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-4	25	16.1	15.9	0.18	14.8	14.7	0.10
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	-5	27	16.4	15.3	1.11	15.0	14.3	0.75
Jeff McInnis	55	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-2	21	16.2	15.7	0.49	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Ira Newble	50	52	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	-4	25	15.6	16.4	-0.78	14.7	15.0	-0.26
DeSagana Diop	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	16.3	16.0	0.38	13.3	15.0	-1.74
Dajuan Wagner	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	16.3	16.0	0.38	13.3	15.0	-1.74
Lucious Harris	41	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	21	-25	16.4	15.7	0.65	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Eric Snow	40	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	19	-21	15.8	16.2	-0.35	15.3	14.5	0.81
Scott Williams	22	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	16	-15	14.7	16.4	-1.67	14.9	14.8	0.11
Sasha Pavlovic	27	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	15	-13	15.7	16.1	-0.42	15.4	14.6	0.82
Robert Traylor	40	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	28	-39	16.4	15.7	0.79	13.8	15.5	-1.69

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	53	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-19	21	14.8	14.8	-0.04	16.9	14.7	2.18
Jahidi White	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-16	15	15.4	14.7	0.70	20.4	15.2	5.13
Jamal Sampson	13	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-18	19	13.8	15.0	-1.21	11.9	16.9	-4.98
Keith Bogans	62	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-22	27	14.7	14.9	-0.20	17.4	13.3	4.11
Brevin Knight	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-10	3	15.5	14.5	0.98	15.0	16.4	-1.38
Primoz Brezec	48	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-9	1	14.9	14.7	0.18	17.1	15.0	2.11
Steven Smith	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-7	-3	14.1	15.3	-1.14	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Melvin Ely	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-11	5	14.5	15.2	-0.73	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Emeka Okafor	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	3	-23	15.1	14.3	0.79	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Eddie House	57	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	7	-31	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.0	17.5	-2.49
Gerald Wallace	44	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	0	-17	14.2	15.3	-1.09	15.4	16.5	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
WAS 115, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 127, NOP 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%