NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	8.7 [157]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +40.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	5.0 [77]		LVP	Aaron Wiggins (OKC): -25.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.41	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.38,0.41	0.15	0.29	0.03	14	72%	0.44	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Gradey Dick	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	42%	-0.01	1	-0.05	8	50%	-0.05
Jamal Shead	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	9	45%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.11
Brandon Ingram	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	18	32%	-0.13	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.13	0.01	11	75%	0.30	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.02
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	10	76%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	54%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brooks Barnhizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.20	0.01	10	46%	-0.09	3	-0.17	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	0.1	28.6	0.0	44.2	0.0	37.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.6%

OKC -23.4%

TOR +37.3%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	OKC	NBA	TOR	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	14.2	104.0	104.1	113.5
season	14.0	13.8		112.8	117.6
opponent	14.6	14.7		105.1	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	13.7	16.2	15.1	14.8
OKC	14.3	15.8	12.6	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	77	76	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.49	7	-5	12	15.0	14.2	0.77	15.3	11.7	3.64
Scottie Barnes	84	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-3	8	14.8	14.9	-0.12	15.0	11.6	3.45
Ja'Kobe Walter	90	89	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-5	12	15.1	12.4	2.62	14.9	10.6	4.24
Sandro Mamukelashvili	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.43	4	-2	6	15.0	14.3	0.67	15.2	11.1	4.19
Brandon Ingram	85	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	14.9	14.4	0.55	15.3	9.7	5.57
Jamal Shead	97	96	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	2	-2	14.9	10.0	4.93	14.5	13.0	1.53
RJ Barrett	64	64	-0.17	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	6	-10	14.7	15.1	-0.40	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Gradey Dick	74	74	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	11	-20	15.0	14.2	0.79	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Ochai Agbaji	69	69	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.09	-12	14	-26	15.1	14.2	0.85	14.4	14.8	-0.38

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ousmane Dieng	64	63	0.53	-1.03	1.57	0.12	14	-16	30	14.0	15.5	-1.47	15.2	14.2	0.95
Cason Wallace	39	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	3	-8	15.7	13.7	2.01	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Brooks Barnhizer	6	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	5	-12	16.7	14.4	2.29	11.7	15.1	-3.35
Kenrich Williams	94	94	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-2	2	14.7	8.3	6.38	15.1	10.6	4.45
Luguentz Dort	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	15.4	9.8	5.58	15.2	13.0	2.21
Isaiah Joe	96	97	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	14.5	13.0	1.53	14.9	10.0	4.93
Jaylin Williams	62	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	15.0	13.7	1.34	15.5	13.6	1.89
Aaron Wiggins	97	98	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	2	-6	14.5	0.0	14.52	15.0	0.0	14.98
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	97	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.5	0.0	14.52	14.8	0.0	14.83
Chet Holmgren	90	91	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	5	-12	14.8	11.0	3.79	14.9	14.0	0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.67,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.09,0	90.9%
SAS 94, NOP 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.33,0.02,0	90.9%
ORL 106, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.5%