inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 106 Excitement9.4 [85] MVPJameer Nelson (ORL): +37.5%
Sacramento Kings 102 Comeback6.2 [381] LVPLuther Head (SAC): -29.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.37,0.370.110.280.011768%0.442-0.07475%0.01
Jason Richardson0.190,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.190.030.16-0.001656%0.262-0.0720%-0.06
Gilbert Arenas0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.080.01967%0.1500.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.06-0.00470%0.1100.002100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.040.010.02-0.00859%0.112-0.07633%-0.03
Chris Duhon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Clark-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011040%-0.001-0.0400%0.00
JJ Redick-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.00728%-0.111-0.02475%0.01
Dwight Howard-0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.070.01853%0.005-0.161457%-0.09

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.080.13-0.001257%0.2100.004100%0.03
Francisco Garcia0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.02660%0.0300.003100%0.02
Pooh Jeter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darnell Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jermaine Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0120%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.020.031656%0.074-0.13771%0.02
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.000.00939%0.053-0.1300%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.07-0.05636%-0.063-0.05250%-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,-0.03,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.13-0.021658%0.117-0.231872%-0.05
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.29-0.29-0.10-0.19-0.001032%-0.222-0.07560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game34.22.529.215.827.71.538.5149.3
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +100.3%
SAC -21.6%
SAC -38.8%
ORL +18.7%
SAC -8.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSACNBAORLSACNBA
this game13.414.715.5103.999.0105.7
season15.214.9106.3102.1
opponent14.916.2107.7101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.813.711.813.213.4
SAC12.914.516.315.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Richardson75750.64-0.140.780.447-31013.213.9-0.6114.614.9-0.23
Jameer Nelson62620.57-0.070.640.319-51412.714.4-1.6815.313.81.55
Ryan Anderson59590.51-0.010.520.4231213.812.80.9814.015.6-1.65
Hedo Turkoglu73740.390.110.270.3613-213.114.2-1.1715.412.82.64
Dwight Howard83850.360.140.210.2440413.313.7-0.3515.112.92.18
Quentin Richardson11110.170.33-0.160.025-1613.913.30.5713.514.8-1.28
Brandon Bass56570.060.44-0.37-0.0540413.213.6-0.3815.513.71.87
Chris Duhon440.000.50-0.500.06-26-817.713.24.538.214.9-6.70
Earl Clark440.000.50-0.500.06-26-817.713.24.538.214.9-6.70
Gilbert Arenas3637-0.070.57-0.640.02-37-1014.113.01.0114.414.9-0.53
JJ Redick4747-0.130.63-0.760.05-610-1613.513.30.1613.615.6-1.97

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jermaine Taylor16150.08-0.580.670.022-6814.414.7-0.3714.113.30.78
Francisco Garcia39400.02-0.520.55-0.011-5614.814.60.2512.613.9-1.36
Samuel Dalembert4746-0.01-0.490.470.19-73-1015.414.11.3113.013.7-0.65
Pooh Jeter3030-0.08-0.420.330.03-40-413.615.1-1.4913.613.30.33
Darnell Jackson77-0.18-0.320.150.03-73-109.915.0-5.1815.413.32.18
Luther Head7977-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.391-5615.013.71.2213.313.6-0.26
DeMarcus Cousins7777-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.533-71015.312.82.5213.214.0-0.85
Jason Thompson6968-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.39-2-2014.315.4-1.0814.012.31.71
Marcus Thornton8585-0.530.03-0.57-0.45-3-1-214.814.40.3613.314.1-0.79
Omri Casspi6665-0.550.05-0.60-0.43-40-414.415.3-0.9113.613.10.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 93, SAC 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.71,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.64,0.23,0.16,092.2%
CLE 92, DET 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.02,092.0%
BOS 104, DEN 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.26,091.3%