NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	133		Excitement	10.2 [54]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (NOP): +70.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	127		Comeback	12.7 [46]		LVP	Derik Queen (NOP): -24.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.70	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.33,0.45,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.7	0.31	0.40	-0.00	20	82%	0.70	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Trey Murphy III	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.27	0.13	0.06	15	76%	0.35	1	-0.02	12	100%	0.09
Zion Williamson	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.29,0.29	0.05	0.24	0.00	17	53%	0.32	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.06
Jeremiah Fears	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Karlo Matkovi?	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derik Queen	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.24,-0.24	-0.10	-0.15	0.00	8	40%	-0.15	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Spencer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.48,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.18	0.02	9	95%	0.51	2	-0.17	4	75%	0.02
Cedric Coward	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	11	59%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.00	0.01	18	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Javon Small	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	117%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.07	-0.16	-0.01	18	55%	0.03	2	-0.12	11	91%	0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	7	65%	0.02	5	-0.20	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.6	28.1	14.5	30.8	0.5	34.4	137.2
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -6.4%

NOP +22.3%

MEM -12.7%

NOP +46.2%

NOP +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	13.5	14.2	125.5	119.8	113.5
season	14.2	13.8		111.3	112.3
opponent	14.3	14.1		114.1	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.4	14.1	15.3	12.1	13.7
MEM	11.8	13.1	14.7	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derik Queen	81	81	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-3	12	13.5	14.4	-0.89	13.9	12.0	1.90
Herbert Jones	77	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-2	10	13.6	13.9	-0.35	14.1	11.7	2.35
Zion Williamson	95	95	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-1	8	13.4	16.4	-3.00	13.7	11.9	1.76
Saddiq Bey	86	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	2	2	13.7	13.7	-0.03	14.0	11.2	2.76
Trey Murphy III	104	104	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	5	-4	13.7	11.5	2.22	13.7	2.5	11.20
Jeremiah Fears	89	88	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	1	4	14.1	11.4	2.70	13.6	13.0	0.59
Karlo Matkovi?	78	79	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	12	-18	14.4	11.7	2.67	13.7	12.8	0.91
Yves Missi	92	93	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	10	-14	14.2	10.1	4.16	13.5	13.6	-0.14
Jordan Poole	68	69	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.11	-4	10	-14	14.2	12.7	1.59	13.5	13.4	0.09
Micah Peavy	66	67	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.07	-9	15	-24	14.3	12.6	1.73	13.9	12.9	0.98

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javon Small	63	63	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.08	5	-11	16	13.0	14.2	-1.21	14.2	12.9	1.30
Vince Williams Jr.	71	71	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.16	1	-7	8	13.4	13.7	-0.25	14.1	12.8	1.31
John Konchar	75	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	0	-6	13.6	13.3	0.33	14.0	12.9	1.13
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	85	85	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-1	-4	13.7	12.8	0.91	13.8	13.1	0.73
Jaylen Wells	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	0	-6	14.4	11.1	3.33	13.9	13.2	0.69
Cam Spencer	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	14.0	11.8	2.23	13.7	13.6	0.17
Cedric Coward	93	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	0	-6	13.9	10.4	3.54	14.0	11.7	2.27
GG Jackson	88	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	14.0	11.2	2.80	13.6	13.8	-0.20
Jaren Jackson Jr.	106	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	13.5	0.0	13.49	13.7	0.0	13.68
Jock Landale	90	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	13.9	11.0	2.93	13.6	14.0	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.8,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 115, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.24,0.08,0	92.3%
MIA 98, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.15,0.31,0	91.9%
MIL 91, TOR 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.71,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,0	91.5%