NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	4.7 [688]		MVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): +13.5%
LA Clippers	112		Comeback	1.4 [629]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (LAL): -5.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Don?i?	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03	27	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	19	53%	0.10	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Drew Timme	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.03	11	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.01	13	60%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	81%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	92%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	78%	0.09	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	19	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.16	0.04	-0.08	21	39%	0.06	7	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.4	28.2	15.3	27.2	2.3	45.0	142.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.2%

LAC +5.1%

LAC +21.4%

LAL -8.6%

LAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	14.2	105.1	113.1	113.4
season	14.5	15.0		115.9	114.5
opponent	14.3	14.1		114.2	114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	14.8	14.1	13.5	14.1
LAC	13.2	14.0	15.9	17.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Timme	25	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-13	18	15.8	13.5	2.31	16.6	14.4	2.22
Jarred Vanderbilt	80	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-11	14	14.0	14.2	-0.11	15.1	14.3	0.79
Gabe Vincent	54	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	0	-8	14.9	13.1	1.72	15.0	15.0	0.00
Jake LaRavia	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	6	-20	15.5	12.6	2.93	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Deandre Ayton	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.21	-17	9	-26	14.7	13.5	1.28	14.2	15.7	-1.42
Marcus Smart	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	3	-14	14.3	13.4	0.95	15.2	14.4	0.75
Jaxson Hayes	84	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	15.0	8.7	6.37	15.4	12.4	3.05
LeBron James	92	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-4	0	14.0	15.4	-1.46	15.2	13.0	2.15
Luka Don?i?	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.1	0.0	14.07	15.0	0.0	14.98
Rui Hachimura	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	14.1	0.0	14.07	15.0	0.0	14.98

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	95	94	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-3	14	15.1	12.0	3.11	14.2	11.6	2.60
James Harden	99	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	15.0	0.0	14.98	14.1	0.0	14.07
Ivica Zubac	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-3	14	15.2	14.2	0.99	14.4	12.7	1.65
Kobe Sanders	81	81	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-2	12	14.9	15.3	-0.36	14.4	12.7	1.72
Kris Dunn	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	0	8	15.4	13.7	1.62	14.4	13.1	1.28
Nicolas Batum	59	59	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	9	-10	16.4	12.9	3.53	15.1	12.6	2.43
Jordan Miller	78	77	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	12	-16	15.3	13.8	1.49	14.4	12.9	1.49
Brook Lopez	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	8	-8	15.1	14.8	0.28	14.5	13.4	1.08
Kawhi Leonard	62	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	6	-4	15.5	14.1	1.39	14.9	12.7	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.77,0.76,0.87,0.9,1,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 81, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.3%
HOU 101, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	95.0%
NYK 102, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.9%