NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	3.7 [1127]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +16.2%
Atlanta Hawks	111		Comeback	1.1 [1139]		LVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): -8.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.00	0.07	9	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	21	53%	0.10	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.02
Henry Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	21	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	13	80%	0.21	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	26	59%	0.15	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.02	0.05	12	66%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	16	34%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.0	28.1	15.5	25.5	2.5	37.5	138.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.6%

ATL +3.1%

ATL +6.8%

ATL +3.8%

ATL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	17.7	15.5	112.1	120.7	105.7
season	14.3	16.5		108.6	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	16.2	12.0	12.9	13.8
ATL	16.1	14.5	18.5	22.5	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-7	5	13.5	13.8	-0.32	14.9	18.3	-3.45
Toney Douglas	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-11	13	13.8	13.7	0.14	16.9	18.2	-1.32
Ronny Turiaf	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	14.4	13.1	1.29	16.5	19.0	-2.47
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	12.8	15.5	-2.69	18.8	15.5	3.29
Landry Fields	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	14.0	12.9	1.11	18.1	16.4	1.75
Shawne Williams	81	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	1	-11	14.1	11.3	2.76	17.7	17.6	0.16
Raymond Felton	78	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	13.6	14.8	-1.27	17.9	16.4	1.47
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	6	-21	13.7	13.8	-0.03	18.0	17.0	1.05

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	77	78	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.08	16	-7	23	18.2	15.0	3.22	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Al Horford	86	86	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-4	17	17.6	19.7	-2.11	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Marvin Williams	53	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.12	22	-13	35	17.0	18.6	-1.55	14.2	13.1	1.17
Mike Bibby	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-5	19	18.9	15.5	3.40	13.9	13.6	0.30
Josh Smith	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	9	-9	18.9	13.2	5.68	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Jamal Crawford	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	13	-17	17.1	18.4	-1.31	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Zaza Pachulia	20	18	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	9	-9	16.3	18.1	-1.78	14.6	13.5	1.06
Maurice Evans	29	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	18	-27	15.8	18.6	-2.83	13.4	13.9	-0.45
Damien Wilkins	15	13	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	16	-23	15.0	18.2	-3.22	15.3	13.5	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 80, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
HOU 86, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,1	96.2%
CHI 114, TOR 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.98,1	96.0%