NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	3.4 [1084]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +4.3%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	1.0 [1193]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): -11.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	13	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	7	75%	0.00	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Oscar Torres	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	14%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1	0.02	-0.05	0.07	23	57%	-0.04	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	-0.01	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	21	40%	-0.02	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	27.2	15.7	28.0	1.8	34.1	131.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.4%

SAS +17.9%

SAS +5.1%

SAS +2.7%

SAS +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.4	15.6	96.6	103.4	102.3
season	16.8	15.8		100.9	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		98.0	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.5	18.8	17.0	15.9	17.3
SAS	14.4	15.5	15.7	16.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-3	2	16.9	17.5	-0.66	15.5	15.4	0.13
Walt Williams	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	4	-12	17.9	17.1	0.83	12.2	16.2	-4.00
Kenny Thomas	63	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-11	18	17.3	17.0	0.31	15.8	14.4	1.42
Oscar Torres	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	17.5	17.0	0.56	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Eddie Griffin	26	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	7	-18	17.0	17.3	-0.31	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Glen Rice	73	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-8	12	17.1	17.9	-0.83	16.2	12.2	4.00
Steve Francis	82	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-5	6	17.1	19.3	-2.20	15.9	11.4	4.49
Kevin Willis	55	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-1	-2	17.5	16.9	0.66	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Moochie Norris	51	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-2	0	17.3	17.2	0.08	15.0	16.0	-0.93

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	65	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-5	14	16.0	13.9	2.12	16.8	18.4	-1.59
David Robinson	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.42	0	4	-4	15.5	15.2	0.26	17.1	17.7	-0.56
Antonio Daniels	45	48	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-4	12	14.2	16.8	-2.59	17.9	16.5	1.47
Tim Duncan	73	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	-1	6	15.7	14.1	1.64	16.7	20.4	-3.66
Steven Smith	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	3	-2	16.7	13.6	3.09	17.4	17.0	0.41
Malik Rose	34	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	1	2	14.8	15.9	-1.12	18.7	16.3	2.35
Danny Ferry	17	16	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	-5	14	14.4	15.7	-1.29	18.9	16.9	1.97
Bruce Bowen	47	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.22	-2	6	-8	15.1	15.9	-0.79	17.1	17.5	-0.44
Terry Porter	36	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.43	-13	17	-30	15.2	15.6	-0.43	16.5	17.8	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAC 95, DAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%