NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	114		Excitement	3.9 [1061]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +13.2%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	1.0 [1260]		LVP	Jerian Grant (CHI): -4.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	11	91%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.03	0.05	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	13	70%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kay Felder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	7	87%	0.15	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.04	11	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	13	61%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	18	60%	0.12	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.06	0.03	3	86%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.05
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.3	14.8	26.3	2.4	37.3	135.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.6%

TOR +0.8%

TOR +5.1%

TOR +4.4%

TOR +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.7	114.0	119.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		103.2	112.7
opponent	14.8	15.0		105.9	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.3	17.3	15.7	11.5	14.6
TOR	13.9	13.3	15.7	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	53	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.38	10	-15	25	12.6	16.8	-4.26	14.5	14.0	0.50
Cristiano Felicio	37	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-6	7	14.2	14.8	-0.65	14.6	14.0	0.63
Kay Felder	36	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-8	11	13.4	15.2	-1.89	14.3	14.2	0.13
Kris Dunn	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-12	19	13.2	16.4	-3.24	13.9	14.6	-0.70
Paul Zipser	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	0	-5	15.6	13.8	1.81	14.2	14.2	0.01
Denzel Valentine	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-5	5	13.8	15.6	-1.81	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Jerian Grant	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	7	-19	16.4	13.2	3.24	14.6	13.9	0.70
Robin Lopez	50	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	9	-23	16.1	13.0	3.06	14.1	14.3	-0.23
Justin Holiday	64	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	3	-11	15.2	13.4	1.89	14.2	14.3	-0.13
Lauri Markkanen	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	2	-9	15.3	13.4	1.87	13.9	14.7	-0.87

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	72	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	1	3	14.7	13.1	1.61	14.6	14.5	0.07
Kyle Lowry	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	2	1	14.3	14.0	0.34	14.7	14.4	0.29
Norman Powell	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	-1	7	13.8	14.7	-0.89	15.2	13.7	1.50
Serge Ibaka	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	4	-3	14.7	13.5	1.18	15.2	13.7	1.43
Jonas Valanciunas	47	49	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	-4	13	14.2	14.3	-0.07	16.0	13.2	2.80
Delon Wright	38	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	2	1	13.6	14.6	-1.01	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Pascal Siakam	28	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	3	-1	14.4	14.2	0.18	12.1	15.5	-3.37
CJ Miles	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	3	-1	14.0	14.4	-0.38	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Fred VanVleet	23	22	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	5	-5	13.5	14.4	-0.92	14.7	14.5	0.14
Jakob Poeltl	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	8	-11	13.6	14.4	-0.80	13.1	15.0	-1.90
OG Anunoby	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	9	-13	13.8	14.4	-0.52	13.1	15.1	-1.97
Lucas Nogueira	21	20	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	3	-1	15.4	13.9	1.52	15.5	14.3	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
TOR 103, POR 125	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 94, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%