NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	5.0 [812]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +22.7%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	1.2 [459]		LVP	Josh Smith (HOU): -9.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donatas Motiejunas	0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.02	0.05	13	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	17	67%	0.14	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.03	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joey Dorsey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	62%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Isaiah Canaan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	29%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.09	0.01	21	61%	0.23	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.08	13	72%	0.09	5	-0.07	13	85%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	14%	-0.06
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	28.0	16.0	25.2	1.7	33.3	128.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.6%

DET +0.3%

DET +6.6%

DET +5.5%

HOU -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	13.6	16.4	15.1	102.0	121.3	104.2
season	14.3	15.7		105.6	104.0
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	14.7	14.2	11.0	13.6
DET	15.2	16.0	15.8	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Canaan	16	15	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-20	27	12.2	13.8	-1.57	17.0	16.2	0.77
Kostas Papanikolaou	27	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-17	21	11.0	14.5	-3.53	18.4	15.7	2.70
Jason Terry	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-5	-3	16.1	13.2	2.86	15.1	16.5	-1.45
Joey Dorsey	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	-2	-9	13.4	13.6	-0.24	14.8	17.0	-2.16
Donatas Motiejunas	59	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-10	7	13.8	13.2	0.61	16.9	15.6	1.34
James Harden	75	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-11	9	13.6	13.5	0.14	16.3	16.5	-0.14
Josh Smith	46	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-8	3	14.4	12.8	1.62	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Patrick Beverley	54	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	14.1	13.0	1.12	16.1	16.7	-0.55
Terrence Jones	38	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-2	-9	14.1	13.2	0.83	15.8	16.7	-0.86
Corey Brewer	58	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	13.6	13.5	0.09	16.7	16.0	0.71
Trevor Ariza	82	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	5	-23	13.1	16.0	-2.94	16.4	16.1	0.28

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	74	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.05	22	-9	31	16.6	15.4	1.14	12.7	16.8	-4.05
Kyle Singler	73	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-8	29	16.2	17.0	-0.77	13.2	14.7	-1.44
Greg Monroe	73	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	0	13	16.8	14.7	2.11	13.9	12.7	1.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	80	84	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	3	7	16.2	17.4	-1.18	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Andre Drummond	67	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	2	9	15.8	17.8	-2.05	13.2	14.6	-1.36
Anthony Tolliver	48	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	11	-9	16.5	16.2	0.22	13.7	13.5	0.19
Jodie Meeks	35	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	18	-23	17.1	15.9	1.22	14.9	12.8	2.16
Spencer Dinwiddie	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	22	-31	15.4	16.6	-1.14	16.8	12.7	4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 84, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	95.6%
DET 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.86,0.81,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%