NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	126		Excitement	6.9 [274]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAS): +36.4%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.2 [301]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -12.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.36	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.30	0.10	0.04	13	97%	0.39	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Victor Wembanyama	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.09	0.00	14	81%	0.35	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	19	52%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.00	0.04	10	85%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Harper	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jeremy Sochan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	12	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	15	66%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.03	0.04	16	76%	0.23	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.04	19	41%	-0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.3	29.2	14.3	34.1	0.3	25.0	133.7
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +21.9%

SAS +16.9%

UTA -3.1%

SAS +13.1%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.4	15.1	14.2	124.8	107.9	113.6
season	13.9	14.0		115.7	113.0
opponent	13.6	14.4		121.3	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	13.9	12.9	12.7	13.4
UTA	13.4	14.3	14.8	18.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	101	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	13.4	0.0	13.45	15.1	0.0	15.07
De'Aaron Fox	101	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	13.4	0.0	13.45	15.1	0.0	15.07
Victor Wembanyama	83	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	0	17	13.7	12.5	1.15	15.6	12.7	2.89
Stephon Castle	88	87	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	2	13	13.8	11.3	2.45	15.4	13.1	2.24
Harrison Barnes	64	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	10	-3	13.5	13.3	0.23	15.9	13.7	2.20
Julian Champagnie	86	85	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	7	3	13.5	13.1	0.44	15.1	14.8	0.31
Kelly Olynyk	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	8	1	13.7	13.2	0.54	14.1	15.9	-1.77
Carter Bryant	62	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	12	-7	13.2	13.8	-0.53	14.6	15.9	-1.37
Jordan McLaughlin	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	9	-1	12.0	13.8	-1.74	15.2	15.0	0.16
Dylan Harper	72	72	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	14	-11	13.3	13.8	-0.44	14.2	17.2	-3.05
Jeremy Sochan	19	18	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	27	-37	13.8	13.4	0.49	13.4	15.4	-1.98

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyonte George	76	75	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-18	19	14.7	16.2	-1.45	14.0	11.8	2.15
Isaiah Collier	72	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	-12	7	14.6	16.1	-1.50	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Cody Williams	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-12	7	14.6	15.7	-1.02	14.1	12.6	1.46
Kevin Love	72	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-14	11	14.2	17.2	-3.05	13.3	13.8	-0.44
Brice Sensabaugh	75	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-12	7	15.3	14.3	0.97	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Kyle Filipowski	63	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-9	1	14.4	16.2	-1.79	12.9	14.3	-1.32
Svi Mykhailiuk	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-5	-7	14.6	15.5	-0.93	13.7	13.2	0.56
Ace Bailey	91	93	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-5	-7	15.2	13.8	1.41	13.5	12.6	0.89
Jusuf Nurki?	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	1	-19	15.7	12.8	2.94	13.7	12.5	1.16
Walter Clayton Jr.	49	49	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.09	-24	7	-31	16.1	14.1	2.01	13.3	13.6	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 114, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.3,0.58,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.1%
CHI 117, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%
UTA 135, CHI 126	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.1%