NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	135		Excitement	7.0 [180]		MVP	John Collins (UTA): +34.1%
Chicago Bulls	126		Comeback	1.0 [153]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -10.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.18	0.16	-0.01	17	78%	0.41	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Keyonte George	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.06	0.04	18	67%	0.26	2	-0.06	13	85%	0.05
Johnny Juzang	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.05	0.06	18	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cody Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Kyle Filipowski	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.11	0.06	19	70%	0.25	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	13	76%	0.15	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	17	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	48%	0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Giddey	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	0.06	11	56%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	28.3	15.3	30.5	1.8	37.3	140.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.1%

CHI -0.5%

UTA +17.0%

CHI -9.7%

CHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	12.1	14.3	129.8	120.0	111.9
season	14.9	13.1		109.6	111.5
opponent	14.3	13.7		115.6	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	14.6	16.9	14.4	15.5
CHI	11.0	12.1	11.5	13.8	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Williams	61	62	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.22	13	-7	20	15.7	15.9	-0.17	13.3	10.4	2.87
John Collins	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-2	10	15.1	16.9	-1.84	12.0	12.2	-0.19
Collin Sexton	72	73	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	2	2	16.0	15.3	0.63	12.1	12.1	0.02
Walker Kessler	67	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	2	2	15.7	15.9	-0.26	11.5	13.5	-2.06
Keyonte George	82	81	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	10	-14	15.9	15.3	0.59	12.1	12.2	-0.08
Drew Eubanks	35	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	4	-2	15.9	15.7	0.26	13.5	11.5	2.06
Patty Mills	27	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	-3	12	15.0	16.1	-1.10	11.8	12.2	-0.45
Kyle Filipowski	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	11	-13	16.9	14.7	2.27	12.2	12.0	0.22
Johnny Juzang	40	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	15.9	15.7	0.25	11.7	12.3	-0.60
Brice Sensabaugh	24	23	-0.02	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	15.7	15.8	-0.14	10.1	12.7	-2.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	52	51	-0.00	-0.48	0.48	-0.15	5	-14	19	12.2	12.7	-0.56	16.4	15.3	1.08
Nikola Vucevic	65	63	-0.18	-0.30	0.12	-0.10	-3	-6	3	11.8	13.7	-1.86	16.0	15.5	0.52
Matas Buzelis	10	10	-0.20	-0.28	0.08	0.09	-10	1	-11	12.9	12.4	0.50	13.0	16.2	-3.21
Patrick Williams	57	57	-0.22	-0.27	0.06	-0.10	-4	-5	1	12.6	12.3	0.28	15.4	16.6	-1.13
Dalen Terry	40	39	-0.22	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	11.7	13.0	-1.33	14.7	16.7	-2.00
Coby White	68	66	-0.25	-0.24	-0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	12.4	12.5	-0.02	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Julian Phillips	31	32	-0.25	-0.24	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-8	7	13.3	12.0	1.24	17.2	15.2	2.08
Jalen Smith	31	32	-0.30	-0.18	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-3	-3	13.7	11.8	1.86	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Ayo Dosunmu	64	66	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-11	13	12.9	11.6	1.28	16.7	13.9	2.85
Josh Giddey	62	59	-0.47	-0.02	-0.45	0.06	-18	9	-27	12.1	13.0	-0.90	15.4	16.6	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.9%
WAS 94, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
PHX 104, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.16,0.09,0	93.2%