NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	6.9 [278]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): +11.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	3.2 [382]		LVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): -14.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Bradley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.05	0.09	15	71%	0.11	5	-0.16	5	80%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	0.06	21	52%	0.02	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron Nesmith	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	9	30%	-0.01	6	-0.13	5	100%	0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	14	60%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	24	56%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.03	0.09	17	68%	0.14	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jared McCain	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	9	41%	0.02	3	-0.06	9	56%	-0.05
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	0.8	26.8	14.4	31.9	1.6	33.1	132.4
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -20.5%

PHI +13.1%

PHI +9.0%

PHI +49.4%

IND -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	14.2	104.0	113.0	113.4
season	13.9	14.6		107.2	113.8
opponent	13.9	14.1		112.9	115.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.5	15.2	14.4	12.9	13.9
PHI	15.8	16.1	13.9	13.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	62	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	0	-9	14.3	13.3	0.96	14.9	14.7	0.22
Ben Sheppard	71	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	14.2	13.3	0.84	15.0	14.3	0.77
Micah Potter	25	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	13.0	14.3	-1.31	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Tony Bradley	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	14.1	13.7	0.37	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Aaron Nesmith	96	99	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	2	-13	14.2	7.0	7.23	14.7	24.0	-9.27
Quenton Jackson	97	99	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	2	-13	14.1	9.3	4.75	14.7	24.0	-9.27
Andrew Nembhard	80	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	1	-11	14.3	12.4	1.93	14.6	15.6	-0.94
Pascal Siakam	81	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	3	-15	14.4	12.1	2.27	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Isaiah Jackson	56	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.12	-15	6	-21	14.0	13.9	0.10	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Johnny Furphy	59	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.12	-17	8	-25	13.7	14.3	-0.60	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Jay Huff	67	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	7	-23	14.0	13.9	0.05	14.1	16.4	-2.33
Jarace Walker	82	82	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	8	-25	13.9	14.1	-0.14	14.5	16.2	-1.64

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Walker	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-7	23	14.2	16.7	-2.53	14.4	12.6	1.79
Trendon Watford	83	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.11	18	-9	27	14.3	17.2	-2.84	14.1	13.3	0.74
Tyrese Maxey	92	93	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-5	19	14.9	13.6	1.30	14.0	12.6	1.47
Kelly Oubre Jr.	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-2	13	14.7	15.4	-0.71	14.3	12.3	2.03
Jared McCain	26	25	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	13.4	15.3	-1.89	13.0	14.3	-1.31
Justin Edwards	26	25	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	13.4	15.3	-1.89	13.0	14.3	-1.31
Joel Embiid	92	92	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	3	3	14.7	16.4	-1.69	14.2	10.7	3.47
VJ Edgecombe	91	90	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	1	7	14.6	17.2	-2.64	14.3	10.9	3.38
Quentin Grimes	89	87	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	1	7	14.8	15.3	-0.51	14.3	11.7	2.58
Adem Bona	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	3	3	14.5	15.2	-0.69	13.8	14.1	-0.36
Dominick Barlow	54	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	15.3	14.3	1.00	15.2	12.4	2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, BOS 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.2%
MEM 86, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.3%
SAS 94, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.6%