NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	110		Excitement	9.7 [102]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +39.7%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	3.7 [523]		LVP	Kyshawn George (WAS): -36.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.4	0.17	0.26	0.03	17	67%	0.50	3	-0.10	20	90%	0.10
John Collins	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	53%	0.12	1	-0.05	8	75%	-0.03
Kris Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	62%	0.13	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cam Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	43%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	10	70%	0.04	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.24	0.24	0.01	0.22	-0.00	10	48%	0.26	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.10
Alex Sarr	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	19	64%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Bub Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.01	12	71%	0.30	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tre Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	12	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamir Watkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.05
Will Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	8%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.18,-0.37	-0.37	-0.08	-0.28	0.00	16	49%	-0.17	6	-0.20	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.0	31.5	0.0	38.7	0.0	43.7	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +11.8%

LAC +8.3%

LAC +18.6%

LAC +9.5%

LAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	14.2	112.2	105.0	113.5
season	14.9	13.9		115.2	108.7
opponent	13.9	14.3		120.6	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	15.3	15.0	14.7	15.3
WAS	12.6	14.7	13.9	13.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Miller	91	94	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-5	14	15.1	17.6	-2.49	13.7	13.0	0.71
John Collins	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	0	4	15.0	15.8	-0.76	13.9	13.1	0.75
James Harden	98	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.3	0.0	15.26	13.7	0.0	13.66
Nicolas Batum	97	101	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	15.4	2.0	13.39	13.7	0.0	13.66
Ivica Zubac	72	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	2	0	15.2	15.3	-0.12	13.7	13.6	0.10
Kris Dunn	81	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	6	-8	15.3	15.2	0.10	13.7	13.5	0.23
Cam Christie	84	88	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	-1	6	15.0	16.6	-1.54	13.8	12.7	1.11
Brook Lopez	84	87	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	1	2	15.0	16.6	-1.54	13.7	13.4	0.27
Kobe Sanders	59	62	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.03	-12	16	-28	15.8	14.4	1.45	13.6	13.7	-0.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Sarr	87	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-10	16	13.6	14.1	-0.56	15.5	13.8	1.71
Justin Champagnie	88	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	4	-12	14.1	10.5	3.67	14.9	17.5	-2.62
Bub Carrington	93	91	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-5	6	13.6	14.1	-0.50	15.3	14.3	1.04
Khris Middleton	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-4	4	13.8	13.3	0.46	15.3	15.0	0.26
Will Riley	81	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	7	-18	13.9	12.8	1.08	14.7	17.2	-2.51
Tre Johnson	100	97	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	13.8	1.0	12.79	15.4	2.0	13.39
Kyshawn George	101	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.7	0.0	13.66	15.3	0.0	15.26
Marvin Bagley III	86	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	13.9	12.2	1.72	15.6	13.4	2.21
Jamir Watkins	87	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	2	-8	13.8	12.6	1.18	15.3	15.0	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.43,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.65,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.43,0.28,0	92.1%
SAS 115, MIA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.28,0	92.0%
SAC 103, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	91.3%