NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	9.1 [127]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +53.2%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	4.1 [182]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -30.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.33	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.33	0.03	0.30	-0.00	5	59%	0.36	1	-0.02	12	58%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	16	62%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Austin Rivers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.02	-0.05	15	35%	0.04	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	12	29%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.53	0.53	0.13	0.39	-0.01	5	117%	0.55	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	80%	0.29	5	-0.29	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	13	48%	-0.09	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.11
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	9	39%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	15	37%	0.01	5	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.3	-0.30	-0.03	-0.32	-0.04	14	45%	-0.24	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.4	28.6	15.8	24.2	2.3	45.4	139.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -8.8%

LAC +23.4%

ATL -9.4%

LAC +44.8%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	14.9	85.9	84.7	105.1
season	14.8	14.2		106.6	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		100.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	13.4	15.3	14.4	14.6
ATL	13.9	13.8	16.0	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	56	58	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.41	15	-13	28	15.4	13.6	1.83	14.7	14.6	0.08
Wesley Johnson	55	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-12	26	14.7	14.5	0.25	14.7	14.4	0.31
Austin Rivers	43	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-7	16	14.1	15.0	-0.97	14.5	14.7	-0.12
Cole Aldrich	30	30	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-9	20	14.4	14.7	-0.36	13.7	15.0	-1.38
Pablo Prigioni	32	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	-7	16	14.4	14.7	-0.26	13.5	15.2	-1.76
Chris Paul	67	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.41	-7	9	-16	14.7	14.4	0.26	15.2	13.5	1.76
DeAndre Jordan	68	65	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.38	-10	12	-22	14.9	13.9	0.99	15.6	12.7	2.86
JJ Redick	56	55	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.41	-11	13	-24	14.2	15.2	-0.97	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Luc Mbah a Moute	55	51	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.22	-13	15	-28	14.6	14.7	-0.12	15.5	13.6	1.89
Paul Pierce	33	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	9	-16	14.2	14.8	-0.65	12.7	15.6	-2.89

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	60	61	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.29	10	-12	22	14.2	15.3	-1.13	15.3	13.5	1.85
Tiago Splitter	20	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	17.8	13.8	3.99	15.1	14.5	0.61
Kyle Korver	64	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-5	8	15.5	13.0	2.48	14.0	16.0	-2.06
Jeff Teague	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-6	10	14.7	14.5	0.21	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Al Horford	76	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	13.7	17.7	-4.00	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Dennis Schroder	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	4	-10	14.2	14.9	-0.68	15.9	13.9	1.97
Paul Millsap	70	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	14.8	14.2	0.62	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Tim Hardaway Jr.	19	19	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	9	-20	14.5	14.7	-0.18	15.6	14.4	1.19
Mike Scott	31	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	6	-14	14.1	14.9	-0.77	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Thabo Sefolosha	51	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	5	-12	14.5	14.8	-0.28	14.8	14.4	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.65,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.45,0.1,0.1,0.05,0	91.1%
LAL 100, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.19,0.45,0.08,0	90.9%
DEN 78, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.27,0	90.8%