NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	9.1 [137]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	6.2 [97]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -27.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	22	67%	0.35	3	-0.19	10	80%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	8	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	13	45%	-0.07	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.02	-0.08	14	40%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.09	0.00	6	71%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.12	0.01	10	67%	-0.01	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	17	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	14	41%	-0.06	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.19	0.01	19	47%	-0.25	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	32.2	19.4	32.8	3.7	36.3	152.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +89.6%

DAL -8.4%

DAL -18.4%

DAL -14.3%

LAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.3	15.5	108.7	101.1	104.0
season	15.7	14.9		105.8	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.4	15.8	16.9	15.0	16.7
DAL	14.9	14.9	12.6	15.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	50	52	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-2	9	15.8	17.7	-1.91	15.0	13.5	1.48
Kobe Bryant	83	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	16.9	14.7	2.22	14.5	12.9	1.58
Lamar Odom	75	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	2	1	16.5	17.4	-0.83	14.2	14.9	-0.79
Tierre Brown	31	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	-1	7	15.2	17.4	-2.18	14.8	14.1	0.68
Brian Grant	29	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	1	3	14.6	17.6	-3.00	15.1	14.0	1.13
Chucky Atkins	61	63	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	6	-7	17.4	15.2	2.18	14.1	14.8	-0.68
Slava Medvedenko	14	14	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	1	3	15.6	16.9	-1.22	16.0	14.0	1.97
Chris Mihm	54	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	7	-9	18.7	13.8	4.82	14.1	14.6	-0.44
Luke Walton	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	6	-7	14.1	17.3	-3.21	12.6	14.7	-2.11
Caron Butler	46	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	7	-9	17.7	15.6	2.09	13.4	15.2	-1.80

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	25	24	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.03	8	-13	21	13.2	14.7	-1.47	19.5	15.7	3.77
Josh Howard	57	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-12	19	14.2	14.5	-0.28	16.6	16.7	-0.07
Jason Terry	77	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-8	11	14.1	15.1	-0.97	17.0	15.4	1.62
Darrell Armstrong	19	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	5	-15	13.8	14.4	-0.60	14.6	17.2	-2.56
Michael Finley	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	0	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.08	17.2	15.7	1.49
Dirk Nowitzki	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-3	1	13.9	16.4	-2.48	16.8	15.5	1.35
Keith Van Horn	39	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	1	-7	14.7	14.0	0.73	15.1	17.7	-2.66
Marquis Daniels	59	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	1	-7	14.9	13.3	1.65	16.3	17.2	-0.91
Alan Henderson	58	56	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	9	-23	14.9	13.4	1.55	16.4	17.2	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.19,0.45,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, SEA 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0	92.2%
LAC 87, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.04,0	92.1%
POR 105, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	91.3%