inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 118 Excitement3.8 [540] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +13.5%
Dallas Mavericks 109 Comeback1.3 [327] LVPBrandon Williams (DAL): -6.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.00-0.012462%0.183-0.055100%0.02
Aaron Gordon0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.180.000.071276%0.1100.00560%-0.01
Spencer Jones0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.00-0.01583%0.091-0.012100%0.01
Peyton Watson0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.01-0.001262%0.102-0.02580%-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.04-0.001250%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.02-0.00-0.06947%0.052-0.011100%0.00
Bruce Brown0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.01558%0.051-0.02250%-0.00
DaRon Holmes II0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01440%0.0000.002100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.00-0.031660%0.133-0.04875%0.01
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.07983%0.0600.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.02850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.022100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Ryan Nembhard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.03-0.01642%0.0400.0000%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01275%0.0300.00450%-0.01
Jaden Hardy0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.001135%-0.0300.001100%0.00
P.J. Washington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.01-0.021336%-0.042-0.01757%-0.04
Cooper Flagg0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.000.02933%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Miles Kelly0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brandon Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.03-0.000.081353%-0.041-0.021267%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.328.914.332.32.333.0138.7
league avg26.32.028.914.429.62.332.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +52.7%
DEN +3.9%
DAL -3.0%
DAL -3.6%
DEN +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game16.613.214.2122.9112.4113.6
season14.813.8119.6109.5
opponent14.014.1111.6115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.015.817.117.516.6
DAL15.214.212.910.813.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray87880.61-0.110.710.0519-102916.319.9-3.6113.96.47.45
Spencer Jones67690.54-0.040.59-0.1022-133515.519.1-3.6214.79.55.26
Aaron Gordon75770.490.010.480.0814-51916.517.2-0.7413.810.92.91
Bruce Brown76770.460.040.420.0215-62116.417.4-1.0613.910.63.28
Zeke Nnaji52520.450.050.40-0.1721-123315.418.0-2.6416.19.96.19
Jalen Pickett85850.440.060.390.1211-21316.716.30.3913.610.23.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.93940.440.060.390.2763316.617.7-1.0913.311.71.59
Peyton Watson92930.400.100.300.2845-116.616.50.1213.212.21.00
DaRon Holmes II1090.130.37-0.24-0.0563313.317.0-3.7016.812.83.94

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miles Kelly910-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-3-316.812.83.9413.317.0-3.70
Dwight Powell5959-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-123-1514.511.23.2815.817.8-1.99
Jaden Hardy6564-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-112-1314.311.03.2916.716.40.36
Cooper Flagg4342-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-189-2714.811.92.9315.517.5-1.98
Ryan Nembhard4747-0.41-0.09-0.330.20-2112-3316.210.45.7515.917.3-1.45
Brandon Williams8786-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-112-1313.411.71.6816.418.3-1.88
Daniel Gafford6262-0.48-0.02-0.460.16-2213-3515.29.75.4615.818.1-2.37
Klay Thompson8079-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.04-156-2114.09.54.4616.119.2-3.18
Naji Marshall9391-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.20-101-1113.212.70.4816.519.2-2.73
Caleb Martin9796-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-90-913.20.013.2116.60.016.61
P.J. Washington7170-0.560.06-0.620.06-2112-3314.59.84.7016.317.4-1.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 117, MIL 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,095.6%
WAS 131, ATL 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.6%
DAL 111, MIA 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.5%