NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	121		Excitement	8.8 [144]		MVP	Bam Adebayo (MIA): +59.4%
Miami Heat	127		Comeback	7.0 [154]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIA): -20.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Gillespie	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.13	0.01	8	72%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	13	64%	0.25	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.06
Grayson Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	19	64%	0.20	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Oso Ighodaro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	2	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Dunn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	24	49%	0.06	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	40%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	19	49%	-0.01	4	-0.11	11	100%	0.05

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.35,0.59,0.59	0.59	0.23	0.38	0.02	15	85%	0.61	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.57	0.57	0.16	0.41	-0.00	18	67%	0.58	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.03
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	6	83%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	16	47%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Jovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.11	0.03	18	55%	-0.01	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	11	31%	-0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	0.0	34.5	0.0	32.7	0.0	45.5	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +67.4%

PHX -19.3%

PHX -22.4%

MIA +18.3%

MIA +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIA	NBA	PHX	MIA	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	14.2	116.3	124.5	113.5
season	14.1	12.8		113.1	113.3
opponent	14.5	14.6		110.4	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	14.2	11.9	16.5	14.4
MIA	12.3	13.5	13.8	14.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	28	27	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.09	17	-23	40	11.9	15.3	-3.38	14.3	13.3	1.08
Collin Gillespie	88	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-6	6	14.5	13.4	1.17	14.0	11.2	2.84
Oso Ighodaro	86	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-3	0	14.6	13.1	1.52	13.4	14.5	-1.12
Jordan Goodwin	100	98	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-4	2	14.4	12.2	2.20	13.6	11.5	2.12
Mark Williams	93	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	1	-8	14.6	12.5	2.04	14.0	9.9	4.11
Royce O'Neale	95	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	0	-6	14.4	14.4	-0.09	13.9	10.6	3.25
Dillon Brooks	94	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	14.5	13.4	1.07	13.9	10.6	3.25
Ryan Dunn	103	101	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	14.5	4.0	10.47	13.7	0.0	13.67
Grayson Allen	104	101	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	0	-6	14.4	0.0	14.37	13.7	0.0	13.67
Devin Booker	101	100	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	1	-8	14.5	9.0	5.52	13.6	9.5	4.12

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	100	101	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-3	12	13.6	9.5	4.12	14.5	9.0	5.52
Andrew Wiggins	74	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-4	14	13.9	12.6	1.33	14.9	13.0	1.87
Tyler Herro	91	94	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-3	12	13.9	10.6	3.25	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Bam Adebayo	83	86	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-3	12	14.0	11.5	2.47	14.5	13.7	0.84
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	101	102	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	0	6	13.5	19.0	-5.51	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Pelle Larsson	86	87	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	13.7	12.6	1.16	14.6	13.0	1.63
Davion Mitchell	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	-3	12	13.1	13.8	-0.71	15.1	13.9	1.27
Nikola Jovi?	58	57	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	11	-16	13.3	13.9	-0.65	13.6	15.3	-1.70
Kel'el Ware	79	79	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	8	-10	13.5	13.5	0.02	14.4	14.3	0.11
Dru Smith	60	60	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	16	-26	13.9	13.0	0.88	13.9	15.0	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.16,0.34,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.74,1	92.2%
DEN 102, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	89.8%
SAC 102, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.15,0.32,0.73,1	89.4%