NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	109		Excitement	7.1 [228]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +33.5%
LA Clippers	117		Comeback	1.6 [363]		LVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): -10.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Mann	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.00	6	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kon Knueppel	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	12	69%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Grant Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	3	78%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	10	46%	0.12	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Josh Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Sion James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Kalkbrenner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
LaMelo Ball	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	24	52%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.26	0.10	0.02	19	74%	0.38	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.06
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.19	-0.01	11	64%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.10	-0.02	28	50%	0.23	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.12	-0.01	6	75%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	117%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.4	24.2	15.2	25.4	0.0	31.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +29.3%

LAC +4.9%

CHA -9.1%

LAC +20.4%

LAC +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	14.2	113.5	124.5	113.6
season	14.6	15.4		114.4	114.5
opponent	14.1	14.1		115.4	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.2	16.7	13.9	14.4	14.5
LAC	15.1	15.2	14.4	19.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Mann	56	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-9	10	14.8	14.0	0.75	16.0	15.6	0.44
Josh Green	69	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-8	8	14.5	14.6	-0.09	14.8	18.5	-3.76
Grant Williams	64	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-4	0	14.7	14.0	0.69	15.0	17.5	-2.50
Ryan Kalkbrenner	58	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-6	4	15.0	13.8	1.20	14.7	17.5	-2.80
Moussa Diabat�	93	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-5	2	14.6	10.7	3.95	15.8	19.0	-3.23
Miles Bridges	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	14.9	12.9	2.03	15.9	15.5	0.37
LaMelo Ball	84	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	0	-8	14.8	12.2	2.56	16.2	13.2	2.95
Brandon Miller	80	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	-2	-4	14.5	14.2	0.29	16.2	13.6	2.59
Sion James	90	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.5	1.06	15.7	18.6	-2.91
Kon Knueppel	88	87	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.30	-12	4	-16	14.5	13.9	0.67	15.9	15.6	0.29

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	68	68	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-5	18	15.8	15.9	-0.11	14.9	13.6	1.25
Kobe Sanders	82	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	15.6	17.3	-1.71	14.7	13.0	1.70
James Harden	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-2	12	15.8	22.0	-6.23	14.6	6.0	8.58
John Collins	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-4	16	16.6	14.4	2.28	14.9	13.8	1.03
Jordan Miller	85	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.34	5	3	2	15.7	17.4	-1.77	14.6	13.8	0.79
Brook Lopez	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	2	4	15.9	15.6	0.26	14.0	16.5	-2.54
Kobe Brown	21	21	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	0	8	18.8	15.0	3.82	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Cam Christie	21	21	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	0	8	18.8	15.0	3.82	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Yanic Konan Niederh�user	21	21	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	0	8	18.8	15.0	3.82	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Kris Dunn	56	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	0	8	14.9	17.2	-2.21	14.9	13.9	0.95
Ivica Zubac	60	60	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	5	-2	15.3	16.8	-1.54	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Nicolas Batum	75	78	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	10	-12	15.1	18.6	-3.43	14.5	14.5	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.81,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.73,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	93.3%
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
IND 85, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.8,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%