NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	3.4 [172]		MVP	Kenrich Williams (OKC): +41.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	116		Comeback	184.2 [16]		LVP	Cedric Coward (MEM): -43.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenrich Williams	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.41,0.41	0.16	0.26	0.01	13	72%	0.41	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.03	0.08	0.04	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Ajay Mitchell	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.08	0.07	18	56%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Ousmane Dieng	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	13	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Branden Carlson	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Barnhizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.14	0.10	-0.16	0.08	18	57%	-0.01	2	-0.13	10	80%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.09	0.02	7	81%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	69%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	9	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,-0.05	-0.05	0.14	-0.16	0.04	14	74%	0.12	2	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	13	33%	-0.03	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Cedric Coward	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.01	9	52%	-0.36	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	0.0	32.6	0.0	32.9	0.0	36.6	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +38.1%

OKC +13.9%

MEM -20.0%

OKC +19.2%

MEM -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.0	15.8	14.2	119.4	114.9	113.4
season	13.9	13.8		116.6	111.4
opponent	14.2	14.7		117.2	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	13.0	14.5	11.3	13.0
MEM	15.4	14.2	14.8	19.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	82	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.48	4	-3	7	13.2	12.4	0.72	15.9	15.2	0.71
Ajay Mitchell	93	96	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-5	11	12.9	15.6	-2.70	16.0	12.4	3.60
Kenrich Williams	98	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	13.0	0.0	13.04	15.8	0.0	15.82
Jalen Williams	98	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	13.0	0.0	13.04	15.8	0.0	15.82
Alex Caruso	94	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.50	0	1	-1	13.0	13.2	-0.22	16.2	8.4	7.81
Ousmane Dieng	29	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.09	-3	4	-7	15.4	12.0	3.42	17.0	15.3	1.63
Aaron Wiggins	74	77	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.27	3	-2	5	13.5	11.6	1.93	16.5	13.7	2.77
Brooks Barnhizer	46	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	5	-9	14.2	12.1	2.09	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Isaiah Joe	60	63	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.08	-8	9	-17	14.2	11.2	3.08	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Branden Carlson	65	65	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	12	-23	13.9	11.3	2.67	15.8	15.8	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
GG Jackson	90	88	0.48	-0.98	1.45	0.21	9	-10	19	15.8	16.1	-0.30	13.2	11.2	2.05
Christian Koloko	61	61	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.08	9	-10	19	16.4	14.9	1.44	13.9	11.6	2.37
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	37	36	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.04	10	-11	21	16.9	15.2	1.65	13.1	13.0	0.11
Jaylen Wells	89	86	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	1	-3	16.0	14.2	1.88	13.0	13.2	-0.14
Santi Aldama	95	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	5	-11	16.1	12.0	4.06	13.2	11.2	2.00
Cam Spencer	100	97	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.52	1	-2	3	15.9	5.0	10.93	13.1	12.0	1.05
Jaren Jackson Jr.	101	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.8	0.0	15.82	13.0	0.0	13.04
Vince Williams Jr.	84	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	11	-23	16.9	10.6	6.29	13.1	12.8	0.26
Cedric Coward	81	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.60	2	-3	5	16.5	13.2	3.21	12.9	13.7	-0.89
Jock Landale	71	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.49	-6	5	-11	16.3	14.6	1.74	12.9	13.4	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.68,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.42,0	93.8%
ATL 109, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.76,0.27,0	93.2%
SEA 114, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.89,0.42,0	93.2%