NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	6.4 [365]		MVP	Isaiah Stewart (DET): +35.1%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	3.3 [421]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (CHI): -20.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.05	0.02	15	80%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.02	0.06	15	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	20	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lachlan Olbrich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	2	33%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	4	62%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	7	33%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	13	31%	-0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.27	0.11	0.03	17	86%	0.35	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chaz Lanier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.02	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	11	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tolu Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	11	46%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	8	12%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.4	27.9	13.4	24.1	1.3	30.9	122.4
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +39.7%

CHI -2.7%

DET +5.2%

DET +6.8%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	16.5	14.2	102.2	117.4	113.5
season	13.7	14.1		112.8	115.3
opponent	14.2	14.3		107.0	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	13.2	13.9	17.9	14.9
DET	16.4	15.1	17.4	17.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	55	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-14	13	14.6	15.4	-0.80	16.9	15.9	1.00
Matas Buzelis	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-8	1	15.0	14.8	0.17	16.7	15.9	0.76
Kevin Huerter	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-11	7	15.4	13.5	1.89	17.2	14.2	2.97
Isaac Okoro	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-9	3	15.1	14.2	0.88	16.9	14.9	1.97
Lachlan Olbrich	68	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-7	-1	15.5	13.3	2.18	17.4	13.6	3.78
Ayo Dosunmu	85	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	-3	-9	15.2	11.5	3.68	16.7	12.2	4.54
Dalen Terry	64	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	-3	-9	15.1	14.6	0.54	17.4	14.3	3.16
Nikola Vu?evi?	89	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-2	-11	14.8	20.5	-5.69	16.6	13.3	3.26
Tre Jones	89	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	-2	-11	14.8	20.5	-5.69	16.6	13.3	3.26
Jevon Carter	20	21	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	1	-17	17.9	14.1	3.80	17.2	16.3	0.97
Julian Phillips	55	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	1	-17	15.8	13.6	2.28	16.9	15.8	1.07

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chaz Lanier	21	20	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-1	17	17.2	16.3	0.97	17.9	14.1	3.80
Tolu Smith	21	20	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-1	17	17.2	16.3	0.97	17.9	14.1	3.80
Ronald Holland II	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	0	15	17.0	14.2	2.71	15.2	13.3	1.92
Javonte Green	80	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	2	11	17.0	12.8	4.20	15.3	12.9	2.35
Isaiah Stewart	89	89	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	2	11	16.6	13.3	3.26	14.8	20.5	-5.69
Daniss Jenkins	92	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	0	15	16.5	0.0	16.49	14.9	0.0	14.93
Ausar Thompson	76	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	6	3	16.6	15.7	0.89	15.4	12.7	2.73
Paul Reed	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	7	1	16.9	15.1	1.78	15.4	13.3	2.14
Caris LeVert	55	55	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	14	-13	16.9	15.9	1.00	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Marcus Sasser	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	19	-23	15.1	17.0	-1.88	13.6	15.4	-1.78
Duncan Robinson	57	57	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	22	-29	16.5	16.4	0.14	14.3	16.0	-1.75
Jaden Ivey	57	58	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	22	-29	16.2	17.0	-0.78	14.3	16.1	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.39,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.78,0.67,0.77,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.0%
ORL 101, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.5%