NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	7.2 [403]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): +16.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	2.7 [566]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -20.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	7	80%	0.17	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.07	0.05	18	55%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Khem Birch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
James Ennis III	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	18	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	10	0%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.08	0.05	14	66%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.02	15	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.05
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	18	47%	0.10	2	-0.05	13	69%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	21	47%	0.11	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shake Milton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	12	21%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.5	26.2	15.8	29.4	3.4	42.4	148.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +12.0%

PHI +9.3%

PHI +20.5%

PHI +3.6%

PHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	14.2	103.1	110.2	109.6
season	14.7	14.8		107.1	110.0
opponent	14.1	14.2		108.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	13.6	15.3	14.5	14.5
PHI	15.3	13.6	17.5	13.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	65	65	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-10	13	13.9	15.6	-1.65	15.3	14.2	1.10
D.J. Augustin	59	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-10	13	14.1	15.1	-0.95	15.0	14.7	0.28
Evan Fournier	69	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-12	17	14.3	14.8	-0.45	15.3	14.0	1.34
Nikola Vucevic	71	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-8	9	14.3	14.9	-0.51	15.0	14.7	0.23
Gary Clark	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	0	-7	15.7	13.2	2.45	15.3	14.4	0.89
Terrence Ross	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	13.2	16.2	-2.99	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Khem Birch	38	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	5	-17	15.2	14.0	1.19	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Wes Iwundu	38	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	5	-17	15.2	14.0	1.19	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Markelle Fultz	43	43	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.25	-11	4	-15	15.3	13.9	1.38	14.4	15.3	-0.91

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	83	82	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.27	15	-8	23	14.8	15.6	-0.82	14.8	13.1	1.69
Alec Burks	55	55	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-5	17	14.5	15.5	-0.99	14.5	14.4	0.15
Joel Embiid	77	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	4	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.42	14.1	15.9	-1.75
Matisse Thybulle	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	7	-7	13.4	16.2	-2.75	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Josh Richardson	70	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	5	-3	15.1	14.5	0.52	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Al Horford	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	3	1	15.1	14.6	0.58	14.7	14.1	0.68
Shake Milton	51	50	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	5	-3	15.9	13.9	1.99	15.1	13.8	1.31
Mike Scott	17	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	6	-5	14.3	15.0	-0.74	14.5	14.5	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	11	-15	16.3	14.2	2.13	14.3	14.5	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
DAL 84, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.5%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.4%