NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Excitement	8.3 [188]		MVP	Darius Garland (CLE): +37.5%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	6.2 [252]		LVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): -14.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0.38	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.38	0.15	0.24	0.01	23	63%	0.38	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	12	73%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.09	0.04	0.08	0.03	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Evan Mobley	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	16	56%	0.15	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Jaylon Tyson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.04	0.01	10	91%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.00	7	71%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	4	79%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.08	0.01	23	43%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ethan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.05
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	17	39%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.4	28.2	15.3	27.3	1.4	37.2	135.1
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +47.2%

IND -11.7%

CLE +29.1%

IND -15.8%

CLE +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	12.7	14.9	14.2	115.4	110.5	113.5
season	13.5	13.9		116.0	107.4
opponent	14.1	14.5		115.5	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	12.4	13.0	11.6	12.7
IND	14.9	14.7	15.2	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	95	94	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-7	18	12.7	12.2	0.47	15.1	13.0	2.09
Craig Porter Jr.	90	90	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-4	12	12.6	13.2	-0.65	15.0	14.3	0.70
Jarrett Allen	96	97	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-1	6	12.6	13.4	-0.78	15.1	11.9	3.24
Evan Mobley	104	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	12.7	0.0	12.65	14.9	0.0	14.87
Sam Merrill	104	105	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	12.7	0.0	12.65	14.9	0.0	14.87
De'Andre Hunter	78	79	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	-3	10	12.8	12.2	0.56	15.5	12.9	2.63
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	57	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	-5	14	11.9	13.6	-1.64	15.3	14.3	1.03
Dean Wade	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	3	-2	12.6	12.7	-0.01	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Jaylon Tyson	78	79	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	1	2	12.7	12.6	0.05	14.9	14.7	0.28

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	72	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-1	-2	15.3	13.9	1.35	12.8	12.4	0.34
Jarace Walker	72	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.6	13.2	2.41	12.6	12.8	-0.21
Aaron Nesmith	105	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.9	0.0	14.87	12.7	0.0	12.65
Micah Potter	85	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	1	-6	15.0	14.2	0.76	12.8	12.0	0.81
Ben Sheppard	92	92	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.35	-12	8	-20	15.4	11.3	4.06	12.7	12.6	0.08
Ethan Thompson	57	57	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.54	-6	2	-8	15.3	14.4	0.87	12.9	12.3	0.57
Johnny Furphy	85	83	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.46	-9	5	-14	15.3	13.0	2.31	13.0	11.4	1.54
Jay Huff	85	83	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.46	-9	5	-14	15.3	13.0	2.31	13.0	11.4	1.54
Andrew Nembhard	93	93	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.46	-10	6	-16	15.0	13.8	1.17	12.7	11.9	0.83
Pascal Siakam	86	85	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.44	-11	7	-18	15.1	13.7	1.44	12.7	12.5	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.33,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	92.5%
CHH 92, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.61,0.4,0.25,0.34,0.11,0,0	92.3%
DET 84, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.3%