NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	7.3 [195]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +9.3%
Washington Wizards	83		Comeback	6.0 [74]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (WAS): -28.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0,0,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	15	64%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Chuck Person	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0,0,0	-0.05	0.06	0.01	12	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.10	2	-0.11	6	67%	0.00
Charles Shackleford	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	59%	0.00	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	13	41%	-0.03	4	-0.10	8	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	63%	0.09	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	83%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	3	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.05	7	-0.19	5	100%	0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	13	41%	-0.07	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.21,-0.31,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	8	45%	-0.04	4	-0.24	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.6	31.2	14.8	25.2	2.0	33.5	132.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +22.0%

WAS -1.6%

WAS -0.3%

CHH +30.6%

WAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.8	100.0	90.2	99.6
season	15.7	15.5		99.2	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.5		101.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.0	15.8	16.9	17.1	16.2
WAS	13.8	15.5	15.9	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	66	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-1	11	15.9	16.8	-0.95	16.1	12.7	3.41
Brad Miller	48	48	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-1	11	16.2	16.1	0.18	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Ricky Davis	23	23	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	19.2	15.2	4.01	16.1	14.8	1.32
David Wesley	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	6	-3	15.6	18.8	-3.21	14.3	18.9	-4.59
Chucky Brown	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	4	1	17.7	14.7	3.03	15.3	15.0	0.38
Chuck Person	69	70	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	7	-5	15.8	17.3	-1.58	14.4	17.4	-2.92
Eldridge Recasner	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.10	7	2	5	17.0	15.9	1.13	17.0	14.6	2.47
Eddie Jones	69	69	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	12	-15	15.2	19.2	-4.01	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Charles Shackleford	44	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	10	-11	16.1	16.2	-0.18	15.8	14.5	1.30

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Davis	31	31	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-11	13	17.8	13.8	3.97	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Ben Wallace	39	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-10	11	14.4	15.7	-1.22	17.7	15.1	2.53
Chris Whitney	17	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-1	-7	17.1	14.7	2.35	16.5	16.1	0.46
Otis Thorpe	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.61	17.7	15.4	2.28
Jeff McInnis	75	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-8	7	14.7	17.1	-2.35	16.1	16.5	-0.46
Tracy Murray	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	3	-15	15.4	15.0	0.39	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Calbert Cheaney	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	14.8	16.4	-1.61	15.9	17.0	-1.07
Mitch Richmond	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.24	15.7	18.1	-2.33
Juwan Howard	85	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	14.9	18.1	-3.25	15.9	19.0	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.61,0.4,0.25,0.34,0.11,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.02,0,0	93.4%
UTA 96, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.63,0.69,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.04,0	92.8%
SAS 90, SEA 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.7%