NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	9.8 [60]		MVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): +45.8%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	6.5 [264]		LVP	Tari Eason (HOU): -28.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	15	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	12	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.12,0.22,0.11,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.01	20	56%	0.09	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.05
Rasheer Fleming	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.09	-0.00	6	0%	-0.13	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.46	0.46	0.07	0.39	0.01	21	54%	0.49	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	11	65%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	9	61%	0.11	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	7	44%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.05
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	-0.00	13	52%	-0.02	3	-0.15	7	100%	0.06
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.29	-0.29	-0.04	-0.24	0.01	15	40%	-0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.4	38.0	13.4	29.4	1.6	38.1	147.4
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +13.4%

HOU +9.1%

HOU +3.1%

HOU +22.3%

HOU +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	16.5	14.2	103.2	106.4	113.6
season	14.1	15.4		113.2	117.3
opponent	13.9	14.5		111.2	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	13.5	16.3	14.3	14.1
HOU	14.4	17.8	15.7	18.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheer Fleming	13	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-5	7	14.7	14.0	0.66	20.0	15.9	4.09
Mark Williams	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	0	-3	12.9	16.5	-3.61	16.3	16.9	-0.63
Ryan Dunn	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	4	-11	13.8	14.7	-0.94	16.1	17.1	-0.98
Grayson Allen	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	4	-11	13.8	16.5	-2.64	16.3	18.3	-2.04
Royce O'Neale	70	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-2	1	13.7	15.3	-1.62	16.6	16.2	0.45
Oso Ighodaro	94	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.1	0.0	14.13	16.5	0.0	16.48
Devin Booker	85	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	13.8	17.7	-3.91	16.6	15.7	0.90
Dillon Brooks	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	13.5	18.5	-5.01	16.5	16.6	-0.18
Collin Gillespie	83	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.3	13.2	1.07	16.6	15.7	0.85
Jordan Goodwin	88	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	1	-5	14.3	11.5	2.81	16.5	15.7	0.83

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-4	11	16.8	15.3	1.50	14.5	12.8	1.68
Kevin Durant	87	88	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	16.3	18.4	-2.11	14.1	13.8	0.31
Josh Okogie	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-4	11	17.6	15.1	2.49	14.8	13.3	1.48
Jabari Smith Jr.	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	16.5	0.0	16.48	14.1	0.0	14.13
Amen Thompson	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	16.5	0.0	16.48	14.1	0.0	14.13
Tari Eason	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	1	1	16.7	16.1	0.56	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Reed Sheppard	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-4	11	16.2	17.2	-0.92	13.8	15.0	-1.13
Aaron Holiday	59	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-2	7	17.3	15.0	2.31	14.4	13.6	0.80
Dorian Finney-Smith	72	72	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	15.9	18.5	-2.58	14.1	14.3	-0.19
Clint Capela	45	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	14.9	17.9	-3.01	14.0	14.2	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.54,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.83,0.75,0.46,0.32,0.59,1	91.9%
TOR 84, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.83,0.6,0.73,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.42,1	90.2%
PHI 92, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.35,0.73,1	90.0%